Not Afflicted With The Same Cold

When the stock market starts to turn down, the process can be slow to start, but when the bears really want to growl, rest assured, they will growl. Typically, the downturn will start with one sector and then, like a case of sniffles through a kindergarten class, the next you thing you know every sector is infected and even the good stocks are falling, leaving investors running for cover, but finding little in the way of protection.

We’ve already talked about how this impacts mutual funds, often times the largest holders of the biggest stocks that are being sold off, but commodities bear markets are similar. Take the bursting of the commodities bubble in 2008. Nearly every commodity under the sun had soared to the moon through the latter half of 2007 and the first half of 2008. Then the party came to a crashing end and all the guests were booted out the door. Again, there was literally nowhere for investors to hide, unless they wanted to put their money into low-yielding alternatives like money markets and CDs.

That’s the great thing about forex. While the market for one currency may be bearish, you can bet other currencies are thriving. In fact, that’s what we’re doing when we trade forex pairs. We’re exploiting one currency’s strength over another or if we’re going short, we’re taking advantage of currency’s weakness compared to one of its rivals.

Where To Turn When Other Markets Head South

This is kind of a tricky question to answer because the answer depends on what markets are spiraling down. Investors may think that if US equities are retreating that it may time to short the dollar. That’s inaccurate. History has shown that foreign currencies that are viewed as “risky” compared to the US dollar, such as the Euro, British Pound and Australian and New Zealand dollars actually suffer when the US stocks fall. This is because international investors are seeking safe havens to invest in, and the greenback is safe haven number one. The Japanese Yen is number two on the safe haven currency destination list.

Another way to play currencies during market downturns is to look at the performance of commodities, namely oil and gold. The Canadian dollar is what is known as a commodity currency and the commodity it is tied to is oil. Simply put, there is empirical evidence to suggest that when the price of crude oil falls, so does the Canadian dollar. The Canadian dollar (aka “loonie”) follows oil, so if you see crude prices tumbling, the loonie won’t be far behind.

Yet another commodity downturn worth watching for is gold. The Australian dollar is intimately tied to gold prices, and just as we would short the Canadian dollar when oil prices decline, we would look at shorting the Aussie dollar as gold prices retreat.

Is Forex The Ideal Hiding Place?

Well, that all depends on your tolerance for risk. To be sure, the forex market can spike in volatility when other markets are collapsing. The advantage of investing in forex during market downturns is that the fundamental factors that can negatively impact stocks and commodities are absent in the forex market. A currency isn’t going to be taken to the market woodshed because of glum earnings reports, lost market share, failed acquisitions or selling by institutional investors.

Likewise, commodities can be affected by input costs associated with drilling or mining for or growing the product. Then there are geopolitical factors like political uprisings and wars that can impact commodity prices. Yes, these can impact currencies as well, but it’s highly unlikely a major currency like the pound or dollar would be severely hampered by political turmoil.

In many ways the aforementioned factors make forex a great place for investors to park their money when they’ve been chased out of stocks and other asset classes. No, you’re not going to get the safety of a money market account, but without taking a little bit of risk, it’s hard to reap any rewards. And when markets are trending down, that can be the best time to embrace the risks of investing in forex.

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You should know the problem of slippage and how to avoid it if you want to successfully trade the news. Slippage occurs when the price you intend to enter or exit the market is different from your actual transacted price. Currency prices tend to move very fast during highly volatile market conditions. The risk of slippage is usually very high when trading the news.

Placing stop or market entry orders under such times do not guarantee anything. Slippage is the biggest problem when the market moves fast. These orders do get filled but mostly at different prices than you had intended.

Many market makers will wait till after the big move is over. Then they will fill your entry order. Sometimes, these entry orders may even get filled past your stop loss or profit target. This means that you would be left with immediate net loss.

Slippage is a trick that many forex brokers use in order to make profit by filling your position with a negative spread. Before filling your entry order with wide slippage, many brokers will fill your stop loss or take profit order. The wider the slippage, the fatter the profits the broker is going to make. Imagine the number of orders placed with each forex broker and the amount of profits the broker makes from one such single event.

Lets take an example. Suppose you have placed your long entry stop for EUR/USD at 1.2564. Your profit limit is 1.2594. The forex broker may first fill your take profit at 1.2594 and then fill your long entry stop at 1.2604 with a 40 pips slippage.

You were confident that you would make a winning trade. If the orders had been filled at the prices you wanted, your trade would have resulted in a profit. But now you have a net realized loss. If the trade goes against you, the forex broker may fill your stop loss order first and then fill your entry order with slippage after that so as to widen their profits. With slippage you cannot predict anything what the broker will do with you.

Suppose, you had placed your long entry stop at 1.2564. You place your stop loss at 1.2544. The broker could first fill your stop loss at 1.2544. Then fill your long entry stop at 1.2594 with a slippage of 30 pips. You now have a net loss of 50 pips due to slippage instead of planned 20 pips loss.

The more you stand to lose and the more the forex broker stands to make a profit, the larger the slippage you experience. You should know as an individual trader that during news when the market moves fast, your orders will be kept pending till you get stopped out or your profit limit is reached. Some forex brokers add slippage to any of your orders to increase their profits.

Many traders readily accept the risk of slippage as one of the realities of trading the news. However, they should know that slippage can eat up a huge chunk of profits and in the end affect their overall profit/loss. You can overcome the problem of slippage through the use of stop-limit entry order. More on it in the next article!

There are easily 15-20 daily economic data releases relating to the major currencies USD, JPY, CHF, CAD, EUR, GBP, AUD and NZD. Trading news can be a very profitable strategy if you know when and how to enter the market. Forex market react the most to the release of the US economic news.

This is not surprising given that US is the largest economy of the world and is the worlds major trading partner. This is the main reason why the US economic news announcements have the greatest potential to influence other countries economies and their respective currencies. An initial part of the news straddling strategy is to pick out the various market moving announcements that can have a big impact on the forex market.

Inflation, consumer confidence, trade balance, unemployment figure, home sales, interest rate decisions, industrial production, retail sales, manufacturing and business sentiment figures are of significance to the currency market. If these economic data released relates to US or Euro zone, the higher the impact will be.

These news releases are usually made around 12:00 GMT or 13:00 GMT. It is morning in US and the European markets are still open at this time. You should note the dates on your trading calendar if you want to trade these economic news releases. You should also note the time of that economic data release other than the dates. Many economic reports are released once a month.

News straddling strategy is an intraday trading strategy. It maybe more advantageous to focus on the more volatile currency pairs! It tries to take advantage of the high amount of volatility that is usually generated with the news announcement.

Since the US economic news is the most market moving, the news straddling strategy should be applied on currency pairs that involve the USD. Some good candidates for this strategy are the currency pairs GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/JPY and USD/CHF.

Try to focus on the currency pairs involving the Euro zone currencies as the European markets are usually open at the time of US news release. However, the Asian markets where the JPY is mostly traded are closed by that time. Thus, the four major currency pairs ERU/USD, USD/CHF and GBP/USD tend to be better candidates than USD/JPY. Even among these four currency pairs, certain currency pairs among the majors respond better than others when it comes to trading major economic news release.

Economic News Straddling strategy is only employed upon the release of significant scheduled news. Moderate to very high price volatility can be expected during the time of the news release. We can expect to profit from the resulting sharp market moves.

For this strategy, you should mostly concentrate on the EUR/USD pair based on its superior liquidity compared to the other major currency pairs. This strategy requires very nimble and fast entry and exit because currency prices usually respond very quickly in a knee jerk reaction to a move in one direction and may correct themselves very quickly.

You should understand the discounting effect in the forex market. Often new traders get confused and ask why a particular currency has rallied despite the negative economic figures about that country. Sometimes, the currency can decline on the release of positive news.

These types of effects confuse and bewilder new forex traders. When there is good economic news about United States, commonsense says that US Dollar should appreciate. Similarly when there is bad economic news and there are signs of economic weakness, like unemployment and huge budget deficits, commonsense tell that US Dollar should depreciate.

What is the reason that a particular currency goes up despite bad economic performance of that country or the currency goes down despite good economic performance of that country? This can be attributed to the discounting mechanism of the forex market.

Traders try to take into consideration the future expectations about the currency in their present trading decisions. Traders think long term. Markets function on the basis of expectations, what the traders think will happen in the future. The markets inbuilt discounting mechanism is formed by the anticipatory reaction of the traders.

Traders will be bearish on JPY and go short now, if they think that Japan will suffer from the rising oil prices in the near or medium term, thus pushing down the currency. But the traders will be bullish on JPY and go long now, if they have a positive view of the Japanese economy, thus pushing up the currency.

You must have heard the famous saying: Buy on the rumor and sell on the news. This is somewhat similar to this saying. Currency prices integrate the markets expectations about the future in this way. Market has already made up its estimates of those figures based on the work of analyst and economists in the major trading institutions like banks or funds even before the economic data is released for public consumption.

Suppose, the market thinks that the US Consumer Confidence Index to show a worse figure than the previous month. The efficient market hypothesis says that all available public information is immediately compounded into the prices of the securities. So the market has already compounded that information in the exchange rate of say EUR/USD way before the US Consumer Confidence Survey results are released to the public.

The currency pair EUR/USD was rallying due to poor market sentiment for UAD. When the US Consumer Confidence Survey figures are released, what will move the market is the amount of deviation between the expectation and the actual figures.

If the released figures are almost the same as expected, this is old news for the market. This information has already been compounded into the currency prices. No surprise was caused in the market.

The release of the anticipated data or news can often cause the currency price to move in the opposite direction initially to where the market had positioned itself before the release of the news. This is due to traders closing their positions on the release the news and taking profit. After sometime the market adjust itself and the status quo prevails.

EUR/USD pair may even end up declining with the USD strengthening even in the face of a negative consumer confidence number if the US Consumer Confidence Index figures turn out to be almost the same as expected.

Thus the lack of any deviation between the expected and the actual figures may cause the currency pair to move sideways or even move in the opposite direction as the status quo remains. This contrarian market reaction is the result of traders who had gone long on EUR/USD closing their positions and taking profit on the news release.

In the world of forex trading, there are no rules or restrictions against insider trading. Anyone who possesses information that is known only to a select few can and do trade that information in the forex market.

Publicly released news is disseminated to the various newswires. Any trader who has access to these newswire services can tap into that information and react accordingly in the forex market.

However, institutional players do get information that retail traders dont have. Institutional players have access to the order book and they may also know something that others dont through their contacts in the industry.

At times, this isolated news access may not translate into real market action if other players dont have that information. However, sometimes the news may give an unfair advantage to the institutional players. They may act on it before it becomes public. The efficient market hypothesis says that all publicly available information is immediately compounded into the prices. So insider information can be very valuable.

In nutshell, forex market is dependent on news. If there is no news, there will be negligible or little price movements in the market. Even if the currencies move based on the technicals, these technicals have been established previously by news or expectation of future news.

Now the market reaction to the news is staggered. The market reaction to the news is specific as it depends on both the type of medium that the news is transmitted on and the type of news that is being released.

The online news service relay the information to the computer monitors of the traders at almost the same time as the market event occurs with very slight delay. Most active traders get their information from these online market news services.

However, there are many other less active traders who feel they dont need real time news so they dont subscribe to these online news services. They rely on market commentaries written by analysts and published on websites or in newspapers. These traders may take time to react to the same news that may vary from a few hours to a few days to weeks. The market reaction can thus be staggered.

Staggered market reaction means that the market will react over time. Some part of the reaction will be immediate while the other part will be delayed and come in a few hours to days to weeks. Part Market reaction may be immediate within the first few second from those who receive real time news. Part market reaction will be more delayed reaction from those who obtain the same news hours or even days later.

Forex economic calendar is usually packed with an average of twenty economic news releases per trading day. The market reacts differently to different news. Some news may produce little or no reaction at all.

You have to be selective to what news to focus on as the market reacts to a varying degree in relation to the type of news that is released. During times of scheduled news releases, currency prices adjust very rapidly to the released data.

Forex market reacts to what of the news rather than the why. For example, the currency prices will move as the market reacts to the better than expected unemployment figures. The market will not have time to consider why the unemployment figures are better this month as compared to the last month. Trading is all about taking advantage of what of the news. If you are more concerned about the why of the news rather than what of the news than you should stop trading and become an analyst.

Major short term currency moves are almost always preceded by changes in fundamental views influenced by the news. Traders around the world make a living by processing and translating information into money. The forex market is extremely sensitive to the flow of news related to it.

We live in the information age. It is an era where information can be an extremely powerful strategic asset. Information equals money especially to a trader. Shutting yourself off to the news can be suicidal. Timely information is vital to an individual or a corporation.

The speed of the news dissemination is very important to traders. If you receive the news after some delay, it is almost of no use to you. Others have already taken advantage of it. Traders especially the day traders require the latest up to the second news updates. Latest news facilitates their trading decisions which have to be made at the lightening speed. A 15 minutes delay in receiving the news can mean losing the trade.

Online news services display the latest financial and economic news on their computer monitors. Many opt for instant online news services such as the Dow Jones Newswires, Bloomberg and Reuters.

News is important to forex trading. Each new piece of information can potentially alter the traders perception of the current or future situation relating to the outlook of certain currency pairs.

News that is of great importance to forex traders is generally related to a countrys economic, monetary and political situations and socio-political events that are happening around the world like in Middle East and North Korea.

It is expected that other traders see and interpret the same news in a similar fashion and adopt the same directional bias. A traders action is based on the expectation that there will be follow through in prices. These traders will be preparing to cover their existing positions or initiate new positions based on this news. It is all based on your perceptions. Sometimes you can wrong too! Market may not react the way that you had anticipated.

News is a very important catalyst of short term price movements because of the expected impact it has on other market players. This is in a way an anticipatory reaction on the part of the trader as he or she assumes that the other traders will be affected by the news as well.

If the news happens to be bullish for the USD, traders who reacts the fastest will be the first to buy USD followed soon by other traders. Other traders may be slower. They maybe were waiting for some technical criteria to be met before they jump on the bandwagon.

When others get hold of the delayed news in the morning newspapers or from their brokers, there will be many who will join in the frenzy at a later stage. An uptrend has already started. When these traders join the bandwagon, they will be reinforcing the uptrend. This progressive entry of the US Dollar bulls over time is what sustains the upward move of USD against another currency.

Almost the reverse will happen on the surprise bearish US Dollar news. Traders who get the news first will start selling US Dollar instantly on the assumption that when other traders will hear the news, they will also start selling. A downtrend develops. Other traders join soon. The downtrend becomes strong. Forex market is constantly in the throws of news driven volatility.

The US Dollar Index is used by traders to get the big picture of the overall trend of the dollar. It is widely quoted in the press and on quote services. The US Dollar Index is traded on the New York Board of Trade at Finex and at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME).

The US Dollar Index is similar to the Feds Dollar Index which is a trade weighted index. The Federal Reserve Board had introduced the US Dollar Index in 2003. The index is the result of the Smithsonian Agreement that had replaced the Bretton Woods Agreement. The Fed gives value to each individual currency in the index based on how much it trades with the US.

However, the US Dollar Index and the Feds Dollar Index should not be confused with one another. The value of US Dollar Index and the Feds Dollar Index is different. The US Dollar Index futures contract expires on March, June, September and December. The minimum tick on the US Dollar Index is 0.1. One tick is equals $10.

The overall value of the contract on the index is 1,000 times the value of the index in dollars. Delivery is physical. It means that you receive dollars based on the value of the index on the second business day prior to the third Wednesday during the month of the expiring contract.

Delivery day of the US Dollar Index Futures Contract is the third Wednesday of the contract month. No trading limits are placed on the US Dollar Index. Trading hours are from 8.05 AM to 3:00 PM. There is overnight trading also from 7 PM to 10 PM.

The US Dollar Index was modified at the inception of the Euro. It is weighted in a way thats similar to the Feds trade weighted index as follows: Highest percentage is for Euro 57.6%, second highest is Japanese Yen 13.6%, third highest is Great Britain Pound 11.9%, then comes Canadian Dollar 9.1%, Swedish Krona 4.2% and Swiss Franc 3.6%. The US Dollar Index is best used as an indicator of trends in the forex market.

However, the US Dollar Index is not as good a trading vehicle as the individual currencies. The best way to trade the index is by using the currency mutual funds. One of the secrets of knowing trading success is understanding what kind of a person you are.

Spot Currency trading where you trade the spot currency market is not for the weak nerved. Suppose you are afraid of taking a coffee or bathroom break for the fear the market will move against you and in a blink of an eye you will end up with a margin call. In such a case you need to invest in currency mutual funds based on US Dollar Index and relax.

By trading these currency mutual funds you are taking away the big part of the risk involved in trading currencies. If you check the dollar index a few times during the day, then you have a pretty good idea as to how your fund is going to close at the end of the day.

You should understand and know from the get go that any action you take on a trading platform is basically your own responsibility. You cannot blame anyone except yourself. You may have meant to click Sell but instead you clicked Buy. No one knows for sure except you. Forex demo account is the ideal place to learn forex trading and avoid these costly mistakes.

Instead of jumping into live trading, first practice on your demo account. Double your demo accounts three times in a row only then trade live if you dont want to blow your account repeatedly.

Attempts to trade at the market can sometimes fail in very fast moving markets when the prices are adjusting quickly like after a data release or break of a key technical level or price point. Part of this stems from the latency effect on the internet.

The time lag between the platform reaching your computer and your trade request reaching the platform server can cause your trade to fail in fast moving markets. You can experience these time lags so that you dont learn them during real trading by first practicing on your demo account.

You opened your position and now you are in the market by pulling the trigger. The forex market isnt a roulette wheel where you place your bets, watch the wheel spin and simply take the result. Dont think that you have pulled the trigger and now its time to sit back and let the market do its thing.

Always trade with a plan! New information and price developments are constantly creating new opportunities and changing previous expectations. Currency market is a dynamic and fluid environment. You should know how to exploit these newly created opportunities by changing your trading plan.

You should know in advance where to enter and where to exit every trade. You can improve your chances of trading success by thoroughly planning each trade before getting caught up in the emotions and noise of the market.

If you are following a medium to long term trading strategy based on swing trading the currency markets, you will generally set wider stop loss and take profit targets and adopt the policy of set and forget. How much managing your open position you need, it depends on your trading style and the overall market conditions.

No matter what your trading style, it pays to keep up with the market news and price developments while trade is active. Even for a longer term trade, staying on top of the market is still a good idea. A lot can happen between you open a position and the price action hitting your target level. So you may require making changes to your trading plan. Unexpected news may suddenly impact your position.

When we talk of making changes to the trading plan, we are referring only to reducing the overall risk of trading by moving the take profit or stop loss order. Your account will be blown up in a matter of hours or days if you dont know these things. You need to learn and experience these things on your demo account first. Dont try to learn them on your real account.

Almost every forex broker offers a free practice account to new clients. This is used as a marketing gimmick by most of the brokers in order to entice new people to forex trading. All you need to do is to sign up with any good forex broker. The best way for new traders to get a handle on what currency trading is all about is to open a practice account.

Practice accounts give you the great chance to experience the forex market. You can see how the price changes at different times of the day. Practice accounts are funded with virtual money. So you are able to make trades with no real money at stake and gain experience in how margin trading works.

You can trade your practice account with real market conditions without any fear of losing money. How various currency pairs may differ from each other? How the forex market reacts to new information when major news and economic data is released.

You will also learn using different market orders on your practice account. Imagine using your real money trying to figure out how different market orders work. You will learn on your practice account how to manage an open position? This will improve your understanding of how margin trading and leverage works. You can also start analyzing charts and following technical indicators on your practice account. Without any fear of losing your money, you can experiment with different trading strategies and see how they work out in the real market conditions.

You can also test drive all the features and functionality of a brokers platform. However, one thing you will never be able to simulate on your practice account is the emotions involved in trading. Emotions will only come into play once you put your real money on the line. Controlling emotions is the thing to become a successful trader. Practice accounts are a great way to experience real forex markets.

You can use market orders like the limit orders or the one cancels the other orders. However, you can also trade the current price of the market using the click and deal feature of your brokers platform. There are many ways to pull the trigger in the forex market. Pulling the trigger means how to enter or exit a position.

Many traders like the idea of opening a position by trading at the market. Most prefer the certainty of knowing that they are in the market. They dont want to leave an order that may or may not get executed.

Most forex brokers provide live streaming prices that you can deal on with a simple click of your computer mouse. Just specify the amount that you want to trade. Click on the buy or sell button to execute the trade. The forex trading platform responds back within a second or two with a pop-up message either confirming or not confirming that the position was opened.

Attempts to trade at the market can sometimes fail in very fast moving markets. This happens when prices are adjusting quickly like after a data release or break of a key technical level or price point.

Rollovers are transactions in currency trading where an open position from one value date or settlement date is rolled over to the next value date or settlement date. Rollovers are unique to the currency markets. Rollovers represent the intersection of interest rate markets and forex markets.

Remember that what you are trading is in fact the good old cash. Dont forget currency is money after all. Rollover rates depend on the difference between the interest rates of the two currencies in the pair that you are trading.

It is like having a deposit in a bank account when you are long on a currency. Its like take a loan from the bank if you are short. You should expect an interest gain or an interest expense on holding a currency position over time just as you would expect to earn interest on a bank deposit and pay interest on a loan.

Think of the open currency position as one currency with the positive balance (the currency you are long) and one with negative balance (the currency you are short). The difference between the interest rates between the two currencies is called the interest rate differential.

The interest rates of two different countries apply because your accounts are in two different currencies. You should look for the base or benchmark lending rates in each country. You can find the interest rates of different countries from Wall Street Journal Online, Financial Times online or that matter any good financial website.

The larger the interest rate differential, the larger the impact from rollovers! The narrower the interest rate differential, the smaller the impact of the rollovers! Rollovers are usually carried out by your forex broker if you hold an open position past the settlement date.

Some online forex brokers apply the rollover rates by applying the rollover credit or debit directly to your margin balance. Other forex brokers apply the rollover rates by adjusting the average rate of your open position. Rollovers are applied to your open currency position by two offsetting trades that result in the same open position.

Rollovers are not applied if you dont carry a position over the change in the value date. Rollovers do not apply for day traders who usually close their positions at the end of each trading day. Rollovers are applied to open position after 5.00 PM EST change in value date. Rollovers only apply to your over night open position carried over to the next day.

Rollovers can earn you interest income if you are long the currency with the higher interest rate and short the currency with the lower interest rate. Rollovers will cost you money if you are short the currency with the higher interest rate and long the currency with the low interest rates.

Trading is not investing. Trading is speculating. Trading can be challenging. Speculating is defined as taking business risk in the hope of profiting from market fluctuations. Successful speculating requires predicting outcomes and analyzing different market situations. It also requires putting your money on the side of the trade on which you think the market is going to go up or down.

Trading can also be the appreciation of the fact that if you apply the correct techniques for analyzing trades, managing your money and protecting your account, you can be wrong 70 percent of the time and still be a successful trader.

Opportunity keeps on shifting from one market to another. For example, forex and gold markets are really hot while stocks are down. Gold prices are going up. Those who entered the trend at the right time and ride the trend for maximum profits will make a lot of money in the gold markets. Right now countries, institutional investors, retail investors, in fact almost everyone is running and buying gold as a hedge against turmoil in the global markets.

Last year in 2008, oil prices had reached almost $140 per barrel in a matter of few months. Many hedge funds had made a lot of money by investing in crude oil futures in the year 2008. Then the bubble burst and oil prices came tumbling down to almost close to $35 per barrel. This situation may continue for some months or some years but suddenly you will find that crude oil futures have become a great investment opportunity again. Right now oil prices are down due to the reduced demand in the global markets.

Oil prices will again go up in a few years time as the global economy recovers and demand for oil increases. In trading it is the timing that is of essence. Timing for entering the market and the timing for exiting the market!

Investors and traders make the mistake of focusing only on one market. Many end up spending time on only one market. In reality all the markets are interlinked. Futures, options, forex, stocks, commodities, all markets are effected and in return effect other markets. If something happens in one market, you will find the repercussions in the other markets. Successful trading requires mastering a strategy that enables you to trade multiple markets and multiple time frames.

Many traders get stuck up with one market. They want to master that market. They trade only one instrument. They do testing and development. They put on a million indicators. Then they go and trade live that instrument. While they do everything they can while spending all kinds of time trying to figure out one market and one timeframe. But then what almost happens is that the market starts to go sideways. The opportunity shifts to another market.

You really have to have the ability to be able to adopt the market conditions and not waste your time to really master one market which is critical. There were so many stocks just a few years ago that were incredible to trade that either dont exist anymore or would not trade successfully today.

Many gurus will teach you that you really need to learn the ins and outs of one market. They will tell you to focus only on one market and then stick with it. But the problem with that philosophy is that opportunity keeps on shifting from one market to another. Mastering different markets is counterintuitive. Always remember a good trader always follows where the money goes. In other words, follow where the opportunity goes.

In forex trading, stop loss execution policy is somewhat different than in equity trading. If the broker bid price reaches your stop loss order rate, stop loss orders to sell are triggered. Suppose, your stop loss order to sell is 1.2540! The brokers lowest price quote is 1.2540/1.2543. Your stop loss order will be executed. Almost the same goes for buy orders.

There is a lot of volatility in the currency markets when some economic report is released. Most of the forex brokers will never guarantee stop losses around the release of economic reports. However, under normal trading conditions, some brokers will guarantee against slippage on your stop loss order. Definition of the normal trading conditions is again the discretion of the broker. The downside of this is that your stop loss order will be executed earlier and when placing them on your forex trading platform you will have to add in extra cushion.

One-Cancels-the-Other Orders: A one cancels the other order is a stop loss order paired with a take profit order. A one cancels the other order is usually abbreviated as OCO order. Your position stays open until one of the order levels is reached by the market and closes your position. When one order level is reached and triggered, the other order is automatically cancelled. An OCO order is the ultimate insurance policy for any open position!

OCO orders are highly recommended for every open position. Lets make it clear with an example. Suppose you are short USD/JPY at 120.00. You think that if it goes up beyond 120.00, its going to keep going higher. Thats where you decide to put your stop loss buying order.

At the same time, you believe that USD/JPY has downside potential to 118.50. So you set your take profit buying order at 118.50. You now have two orders bracketing the market. Your risk is clearly defined. As long as the market trades between 120.00 and 118.50, your position remains open. If 118.50 is reached first, your take profit order is triggered and you buy back at a profit. However, if 120.00 is hit first, your position is stopped out at a loss.

Contingent Orders: Contingent orders are also referred to as if/then orders. If/then orders require the If order to be done first. Only then the second part of the order becomes active. So they are sometimes also called If done/then orders. A contingent order is an order where you combine several types of orders to create a complete currency trading strategy.

The key feature of most forex broker order policies is that your order is only filled based on the price spread of the trading platform. That means that your limit order is only executed if the trading platform offer rate reaches your buy rate. Similarly, a limit order is only executed if the trading platform bid price reaches your sell rate.

Suppose you have a buy order to sell GBP/USD at 1.2655. Your brokers spread on GBP/USD pair is 4 pips. If the trading platform price is 1.2655/1.2659, your buy order will be filled. If the lowest price is 1.2652/1.2656, the limit order will not be filled as the brokers lowest rate of 1.2655 does not match your buy rate of 1.2656. Almost the same thing happens with limit orders to sell.

Stop Loss Orders: If the market moves against your position, stop loss orders are used to limit losses. If you dont use stop loss orders, you are leaving yourself at the mercy of the markets. A dangerous proposition! Stop loss orders are critical to your trading survival. The traditional stop loss order does just that. It stops losses by closing out an open position that is losing money.

Your stop loss order would be to buy but at a higher price than the current market price if you are short. Your stop loss order would be to sell but at a lower price than the current market price if you are long. Stop loss orders are on the other side of the take profit orders but in the same direction.

Trailing Stop Loss Orders: A trailing stop loss order is a stop loss order that you set at a fixed number of pips from your entry rate. As the market price moves, the trailing stop order adjusts the order rate but only in the direction of your trade.

Suppose you are long on EUR/CHF at 1.2654. You set the trailing stop loss order at 30 pips. The stop will initially become active at (1.2654-30=) 1.2624. The trailing stop loss order continues to adjust itself higher as the market moves higher. The stop adjusts itself and will become active at 1.244 if the EUR/USD rate goes up to 1.2674.

When the market puts in the top, your trailing stop will be 30 pips below the top. If the market ever goes down by 30 pips, the trailing stop loss order will be triggered and your open position closed. So in our example, you are long at 1.2654. You set the trailing stop loss at 30 pips and it became active at 1.2624.

Suppose the market never ticks up and instead the market goes straight down. You will be stopped out at 1.2624. Instead suppose the market first rises to 1.2664. Then the market declines 40 pips. Your trailing stop loss order will first rise to (1.2664-30=) 1.2634. It is at 1.2634 that you would be stopped out now.

Did you hear the saying while trading: Cut your losses and let your winners run? A trailing stop loss order allows you to do exactly that. You wait for the market to stage for a reversal in case of a possible winning trade. Instead of you picking the right level to exit on your own, the trailing stop loss order takes you out of your trade.

So the key to successful trading is to cut losing positions quickly and let winning positions run. This function is nicely performed by the trailing stop loss order. Use of stop loss orders is critical in money and risk management. Never ever, trade without the stop loss orders!

Just to remind you that forex markets are open 24 hours a day, five days a week. A market move is just likely to happen while you are asleep or in the shower as while you are sitting in front of your computer screen. Currency traders use market orders to catch market movements when they are not in front of their screens.

Market orders are very critical to your trading success. Think of the different types of market orders as trades waiting to happen. If you enter an order and the subsequent price action triggers its execution, you are in the market so be as careful as possible while playing with the market orders. Trading can be very difficult without these market orders.

Professional currency traders routinely use market orders to capture sharp short term price fluctuations, limit risk in volatile or uncertain markets, implement a trade strategy from entry to exit and preserve trading capital from unwanted loss. Market orders are essential for maintaining trading discipline.

Currency markets can be notoriously volatile and difficult to predict. There can be sudden price swings. Using market orders can help you capitalize on short term price movements while limiting the impact of any adverse price movements.

You probably dont have a well thought out trading plan if you dont use market orders. It will also give you the peace of mind in trading. There is no guarantee that the use of market orders will limit your losses and protect your profits in all market conditions. However, a disciplined use of market orders will help you quantify the risk that you are taking.

Multiple types of market orders are available in forex markets to forex traders. However, you should know that not all market orders are available at all online forex brokers. So when you open an account with a forex broker, you should add the market orders to the list of questions you need to ask the broker.

Take Profit Orders: When you have an open position in the market, use the take profit order to lock in profits. There is an old market saying, You cant go broke taking profits. Suppose you are short GBP/USD at 1.2354. Your take profit order will be to buy back the position and be place somewhere below 1.2334. Making you a profit of 20 pips! If you are long EUR/USD at 1.2845, your take profit order will be to sell the position somewhere higher close to 1.2875.

Limit Orders: Dont forget the saying, Buy low and sell high. A limit order is any market order that triggers a trade at more favorable levels than the current market price. The limit order must be placed somewhere above the current market price if the limit order is to sell. The limit order must be entered somewhere below the current market price if the order is to sell.

Cross currency pairs are as important as the major currency pairs that involve USD on either side of the transaction. The most active traded crosses focus on the three non USD currencies namely EUR, GBP and JPY. These crosses are known as the euro crosses, sterling crosses and the yen crosses. The most actively traded cross currency pairs are: EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY, EUR/CHF, and NZD/JPY. Sometimes you will find more action in the cross currency pairs. Crosses enable currency traders to directly target trades to specific individual currencies to take advantage of news or events.

You may notice that the currencies are combined in a seemingly strange way when you look up at the currency pairs. For instance, if sterling-yen (GBP/JPY) is a yen cross, why it is not being also referred to as yen-sterling (JPY/GBP)? The answer is that those quoting conventions were evolved over the years. These conventions have been designed to reflect traditionally strong currencies versus traditionally weak currencies with the strong currency coming first.

The first currency in the currency pair is known as the base currency. For example in USD/EUR, USD is the base currency. It is the base currency that you are buying or selling when you buy or sell a currency pair. The second currency in the pair is known as the counter currency. In the above currency pair, Euro is the counter or secondary currency. So if you buy 100,000 EUR/JPY. You have just bought 100,000 Euros and sold the equivalent amount in Japanese Yen.

So you can say currency trading involves simultaneously buying and selling. This is the most important difference between currency trading and stock trading. In currency trading, going long means having bought a currency pair! When you are long, you are looking for the prices to go higher. It will make you a good profit if you sell at a higher price from that where you bought. You will make a loss if you are long and the price goes down.

Going short in currency trading means selling a currency pair! It means that you have sold the currency pair, meaning you have sold the base currency and bought the counter currency. In currency trading going short is as common as going long.

Selling high and buying low is the standard currency trading strategy. Having no position in the market is known as being square or flat. If you have an open position and you want to close it, its called squaring up. If you are short, you need to buy to square up. If you are long, you need to sell to go flat.

When you open an online currency trading account, you will need to pony up cash as collateral to support the margin requirements established by your broker. A clear understanding of how P&L works is especially critical to online margin trading. Profit and Loss is how traders measure success and failure.

Profit and Loss (P&L) calculations are pretty straight forward. P&L calculations are based on position size and the number of pips you make or lose. Most of the currency pairs are quoted up to four decimal places except those involving JPY. Currency pairs involving JPY on one side are only quoted up to 2 decimal places. A pip is the smallest increment of price fluctuation in currency pairs. Suppose CHF/USD quote is 1.2233. It has gone up by 20 pips if the price moves from 1.2233 to 1.2253. Pip is the increase or decrease in the fourth decimal digit. Pips are also referred to as points. It is an abbreviation of Percentage in Points.

Most investors on Wall St. know about trend following. It’s a method that’s been around for a while. I always thought it was too much trouble, and too much trouble and I didn’t want to invest the money in the software or the time in learning to use the software. Lately though, my investments hadn’t been doing as well as I wanted so I started looking around for new ways to invest.

If your ready to try a new approach, give up the high risk, high yield strategy for a new idea, I suggest you take a look at ETFTradingSignals.com. Instead of high risk investments, ETF Trading Signals follows EFTs which are traded just like stocks but are very low risk. Do you think you can’t get a good return on a low risk investment?

ETFTradingSignals.com only deals with EFTs. EFTs are one of the safest investments on the market. Yes, EFTs are usually long term investments, and with this system you may keep an EFT for four to six months. No watching the market like a hawk, and agonizing over the latest indicators. A low risk investment that can still offer a high yield if you follow the signals.

With EFTs they claimed, you only had to make ten or twelve trades a year to show a good profit on your trades. I was a little skeptical, but they offered a money back guarantee, so I decided to check it out.

I found out about ETFTradingSignals.com a few months ago. It didn’t really fit my market strategy, but I was losing money steadily with high risk, short term investments. I thought maybe it was time for a change and I subscribed to their newsletter. Since they offer a sixty day money back guarantee, I didn’t put my money into any of their picks, I just did a test with paper trades. After two months I wished I had gone ahead and invested. Their picks were were making money, which is more than I can say for mine.

I continued my membership and began playing with real money instead of imaginary money and I am very impressed. I’ve steadily been making money. Not all of their picks were winners, but I didn’t lose much on the ones that went south, because their emails alerted me to exit in time to prevent any major loss.

ETFTradingSignals.com has changed my attitude about investing. I thought I had to stay on top of the market and buy and sell every day to make money. Now I may go a month or more without making a single trade and I’m still making more money than I was before. Not only that, I’m saving a fortune in broker fees.

This is one of the best ways to invest that I have come across and I am really glad that I joined. If you’re looking for a new way to invest, one that minimizes your risk, I whole heatedly endorse ETFTradingSignals.com.

Currency trading is the name of the game right now. Currency trading is being called the Recession Proof Business of the 21st Century. The currency market is the crossroads for international capital, the intersection through which the global commercial and investment flows have to move. We like to think of the currency market as the, Big Kahuna of the financial markets. Currency Market is the most traded financial markets in the world.

Currency market is open around the clock six days a week, enabling currency traders to act on news and events as they happen. More than anything else, the currency market is the traders market. Its a market where a billion dollar of trades can be executed in a matter of seconds. Huge currency transactions may not even move the prices noticeably.

By far the vast majority of currency trading volume is based on speculation. While commercial and financial transactions in the currency markets represent huge nominal sums, they still pale in comparison to the amount spend on speculation.

The depth and breadth of the speculative market means that the liquidity of the overall currency market is unparalleled among global financial markets. Estimates are that upwards of 90% of the daily trading volume is derived from speculation. It means that commercial or investment based currency trades account for less than 10% of the daily global volume.

Currency trading has its own set of trading lingo just like any financial market. If you are new to currency trading, the mechanics and terminology may take some getting used to. The biggest mental hurdle facing newcomers to currency trading especially those traders coming from other markets are getting there head around the idea that each currency trade consists of a simultaneous sale and purchase.

For example, in the stock market, you own only 100 shares and want to see the price go up if you purchase 100 shares of Google (GOOG). You simply sell your 100 shares when you want to exit. But in currencies, the purchase of one currency involves the simultaneous sale of another currency.

This is the exchange in the foreign exchange. So currencies come in pairs. To make matters easier, currency markets refer to trading currencies by pairs. All most all currency pairs have nicknames or abbreviations. The major currency pairs all involve the US Dollar on one side of the deal.

The most frequently traded currency pairs in the currency market are: USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF, EUR/USD, USD/CAD, UAD/USD, and NZD/USD. Rest of the currency pairs dont have the volume that these pairs have. The designation of each currency is expressed using ISO codes for each currency.

A cross currency pair or a cross is any currency pair that does not include the US Dollar. Cross pairs serve as the alternative to always trading the US Dollar. Although the vast majority of currency trading takes place in the dollar pairs but still there are some important crosses that get traded frequently. Cross rates are derived from the respective USD pairs but are quoted independently.

Hanging Man & the Hammer: It is considered a hanging man if it appears at the top of the uptrend! You are looking at a hammer if you see this pattern at the bottom of a downtrend. The hammer or the hanging man is identified by the small candle that appears at the very top of the pattern and there is usually a pretty long wick at the bottom.

You wouldnt trade on it if the opening price on the next trading day is higher than the hammers close if a hammer appears in a downtrend. Similarly, you wouldnt trade on it unless it is confirmed the next day with an opening price lower than the previous close, if you think you have a hanging man appearing in an uptrend.

Double stick patterns depend on two days. The first day is called the set up day. The second day is called the signal day. If you put in the time and effort to monitor them, these patterns can be very powerful and profitable. Compared to single stick patterns, double stick patterns are difficult to come by and rarely appear.

Engulfing Pattern: Engulfing candlestick pattern can be bullish or bearish! The name comes from the fact that the signal day engulfs the pattern day. Both the wick and the body of the second day completely cover the same ground as the first day. The first double candlestick pattern is the bullish engulfing pattern. The setup day candle should be bearish. The signal day candle should be bullish bigger than the last day bearish candle. Likewise the bearish engulfing pattern signals the end of an uptrend.

Harami: A Harami is a two day candlestick pattern with the candle of the setup day longer than the candle of the signal day. Harami pattern can also be bullish or bearish. The first day is very bearish and occurring in a downtrend in case of a bullish Harami. However, on the second day bulls take over. This signals reversals of a downtrend that culminated in a downtrend. Likewise, a bearish Harami signals end of an uptrend.

Harami Cross: Harami Cross is a special variant of the Harami. It involves a Doji pattern and should always be considered an indicator of the potential reversal. A Harami Cross can also be bullish or bearish. Bullish Harami Cross appears during a downtrend. Its setup date is a black long candle. Its signal day is a Doji. Similarly, a bearish Harami is considered to indicate end of an uptrend.

Bullish Inverted Hammer: This pattern occurs in a downtrend. The first day is a bearish candle. The signal day is an inverted hammer. The bullish inverted hammer is a fairly rare pattern.

Doji Star: A Doji Star can be bullish or bearish. The bullish doji star is very similar to a bullish inverted hammer. It occurs in a downtrend and signals that the bulls have had enough. A bullish doji pattern is a two day pattern with the doji appearing on the signal day during a downtrend. Likewise, a bearish doji star indicates end of an uptrend.

Meeting Line: This pattern is another signal that a trend reversal is about to take place. In case of a bullish meeting line, the setup day is a long black candle and the signal day is a long white candle.

Bullish Piercing Line: The bullish piercing line consists of a long black candle on the setup day followed by a long white candle on the signal day. The open of the signal day should be lower than the low of the setup day.

The Bearish Gravestone Doji: Dojis appear very rarely in the candlestick patterns. A Doji is created when the opening and closing prices of the day are the same. It is very rare for the opening and closing prices for the day to exactly equal each other. However, the Gravestone Doji is formed when the opening and closing prices of the day are equal to the low of the day, the most bearish of Doji.

Not all single stick patterns are straightforward. These were some single stick patters that were most basic and easy to identify. Some extremely useful single stick patterns rely heavily on their location on a chart.

If you can spot them in the right market environment, a variety of single stick patterns can provide some terrific trading opportunities. Make yourself familiar with these candlestick patterns. Learn how to identify them. Trading based on them is another way that you can add a versatile weapon to your trading arsenal.

We have talked about Dojis. Dojis are often associated with the reversal of the trend. Dojis can serve as outstanding reversal indicators. It could very well indicate that the trend maybe changing to a downtrend soon if a Doji appears in an uptrend, especially if it is a Gravestone Doji. Similarly for a downtrend!

The Long Legged Doji: A long legged Doji like the name long legged implies features a small stick. It has very long wicks or legs whatever you call them on either side. The small candle on a long legged Doji is normally located very close to the center of the candlestick.

A long legged Doji is considered a reversal signal when appearing in an uptrend or a downtrend. This Doji indicates that there was a lot of uncertainty in the market after a period of directional certainty. This change of conviction often results in the change of trend.

The Spinning Top: A spinning top is formed when a candlestick has a small body. It has wicks stick out on both ends. The body of the candlestick should appear to the center of the range of the days price action. The wicks should also be as wide as the candle section of the candlestick.

The spinning top is another candlestick pattern that depends on the market context. The spinning top also reveals a tight battle between the bulls and the bears like a Doji. An explosive move in one direction is possible when this happens. Eventually one side have to give in whenever, there is a close battle between the bulls and the bears.

Dojis appear very rarely. However, the spinning tops make frequent appearances. Like Dojis, the spinning tops are nice indicators that the trend is about to end and reverse itself.

Belt Holds: There are two types of belt holds: bullish belt hold and bearish belt hold pattern. Bullish belt hold candlestick pattern features an opening price equal to the lowest price of the day and a closing price near the highest price of the day which leaves a small wick near the top of the candle.

Belt holds also depend on market context and are excellent trend reversal signals. Bearish belt holds patterns on the other hand opens on their highs and close near their lows, thus leaving a small wick near the bottom of the candle.

Unless you understand Candlestick charting, you cant trade and invest effectively in securities or currencies. It is essential that you understand Candlestick charting. Many options exist for the charting of currencies and securities now with the advancement of technology. There are several types of charts easily available on the charting software. The four main charting methods are: 1) Candlestick charts, 2) Line Charts, 3) Point and Figure Charts and 4) Bar Charts.

For a number of reasons, the three charting methods pale in comparison with the candlestick charting. Candlestick charting has unique and inherent advantages over the other charts. You can understand whats going on with the price of a currency pair with a simple glance on the candlestick charts. One of the best features of candlestick charting is its visual appeal and readability.

You can get a sense of how the price is trending with the candlestick charts. You can easily spot the opening and closing price of a currency pair on a candlestick charts. You can also tell whether the buyers or sellers have dominated a given day. These price levels can be an important area of support and resistance for a given day.

Why should traders choose candlestick charts over other types of charts when analyzing price action of currency markets? Candlestick charts feature specific patterns that you can identify and use to decide when its best time to buy, sell or wait on a trade.

Currency traders or for that matter other traders too, need easy to read charts that allow them to make quick decisions and efficiently analyze price patterns in the markets. Candlestick charting offers those benefits and many more. The need for a consistent and dynamic charting method is more important than ever. Trading is becoming more and more complex. The following four pieces of information are combined to make a candlestick:

Price on the Open: The price at which a particular currency pair opens on a given period is the first piece of information used to create a candlestick.

High Price: The top of the candlesticks wick corresponds to the highest price reached during that given period.

Low Price: The bottom of the candlesticks wick corresponds to the lowest price that a currency pair reaches during a period.

Price on the Close: At the end of the given period, the closing price of the currency pair is the last piece of information used to create a candlestick.

You can gain far more insight into a periods trading by looking at the candlestick than you can by looking at another type of charting tool. Candlesticks that represent bullish price action appear white on the chart. Candlesticks that represent bearish price action appear black.

You can tell right away that the up day has a white candle and the down day has a black candle. That simple difference alone clearly reveals the nature of price action that took place during that period.

Candlestick charts quickly clue you on the type of buying and selling thats been going on during a given period and where it may occur again.

Candlestick patterns can reveal a lot about the underlying market sentiments. Using one of these candlestick patterns without knowing about the previous trends wouldnt be very useful. Based only on the market activity of the previous few days, most candlestick patterns are valid. For instance, some of the candlestick patterns indicate a change in trend.

Usually the context in which you find the candlestick pattern tells you a great deal about what you should do based on that candlestick pattern. Lets consider simple candlestick patterns first.

The Bullish White Marubozu: A long white candle represents the day when bulls control the market. The bulls push prices higher from the opening to the closing. The longest white candle is the most bullish of the candlestick patterns. Chances are with the long white candle closing near the high, the bulls will be back for more buying the following day.

This means that buying has been taking place all the day. The low price on the candlestick is a good support level with the long white candle. One common feature of the long white candle is an opening price near the low of the day and a closing price near the high of the day.

The Bullish Dragonfly Doji: A day must begin and end with the same price for a Doji to be created. A Doji just looks like a cross. So essentially there is no stick in the candlestick. A Doji is formed when the opening and the closing prices are the same.

Doji patterns are usually associated with a market turn. Doji depicts a day where the battle between the bulls and the bears has been fairly equal. A Doji may not look very exciting to you. But dont be fooled.

For those hoping that prices go higher, the price action depicted by the Dragonfly Doji bodes very well. A Dragonfly Doji is unique in that three of the four candlestick patterns- the open, high and the close are all equal. The low of the Dragonfly Doji day is considered a near term support level. You can make smart trades based on the Dragonfly Dojis.

The Bearish Long Black Candle: A long black candle means that sellers take over at the beginning of the day. Continuous selling throughout the day pushes prices lower and lower until the end of the day. The long black candle is as bearish as it gets. The long black candle is the direct counterpart of the long white candle discussed earlier.

Price sensitivity is very low for these sellers. These sellers are selling just to get out of their trades. Seeing this type of enthusiastic selling must give you the confidence after the appearance of the long black candle that the bears will be in control for a few more days. The long black candlestick pattern is a good bearish signal. You can capitalize on this fact.

If you want to detect a trend reversal breakout, you can identify it through the MACD divergence signals. When you spot a potential breakout scenario on a currency pair chart, you should look at how the MACD histogram is performing.

If the currency pair has been making new highs, is the MACD histogram also forming higher peaks? If it is so, you can safely assume that the uptrend is likely to continue and any breakout to the downside will be short lived and probably false.

However, suppose the MACD histogram shows a bearish divergence. This is a strong signal that a downside breakout is more likely to be sustained than false. The reverse holds true for a bullish MACD divergence. In case of a bullish MACD divergence, the chances are high for an upside breakout.

However, MACD divergence signal seldom occurs. But you should immediately take note when it makes an appearance. It is a strong signal for a trend reversal. Another momentum indicator that can help you anticipate when the prices are at the verge of breaking out is the RSI. You can use both for confirming a trend reversal.

The RSI measures the relative changes between the higher and lower closing prices over a period of time. RSI stands for the Relative Strength Index (RSI). A reading of 70 and above indicates that the currency pair is overbought. A reading of 30 or lower indicates that the currency pair is oversold.

However, an uptrend could register a prolonged period of overbought conditions whereas a downtrend could register a prolonged period of oversold conditions. The most useful way of applying RSI is through its divergence signals.

Bullish divergence occurs when a currency pair declines to a new low. But the RSI makes a higher low like that in MACD. A bearish divergence appears when the currency pair rallies to a new high. But RSI makes a lower high instead.

Remember that it is very difficult to predict with 100% accuracy the success of a breakout. Using momentum indicators like MACD and RSI can sometimes provide clues to internal trend weaknesses since momentum proceeds price change for the breakout trading strategy.

Before implementing the breakout trading strategy, detail technical analysis of the current and past price action must be carried out in order to tilt the odds of success in your favor. Trading breakout can be a very profitable strategy if it is applied sensibly after thorough analysis.

Price breakouts may be triggered by sudden forex related news or comments or unexpected geopolitical events. Breakouts frequently occur along trendlines. A trendline breakout could signal a reversal or continuation of trend. In case of a trend continuation, this break may indicate a temporary interruption in the prevailing trend or signal that the trend will continue but at a slower pace.

Trading channel breakout is a very profitable strategy among the currency traders. A channel basically consists of two parallel trendlines which can be drawn to encapsulate the price action.

When prices move out of a price range, then back into the price range and then breaks out of the level again, stopping both breakout traders and faders at least once, whipsaw takes place. When there is a lack of momentum or the breakout is small and weak, a whipsaw breakout usually occurs.

Reasonably placed stops can help preserve your capital when the price breakout does not go your way. Some times the price action is so choppy that it is better to stay out of the market. Breakouts all carry some risk of failure.

Successful trading of a reversal breakout obviously means massive profits in the shortest possible time. However, things are not that simple as they seem on the surface. How do you know if a breakout is going to reverse the current trend?

There are some chart patterns that can help in identifying a likely breakout. You should look out for these reversal chart patterns that tend to serve as harbingers of a trend change. There is a high chance that a reversal may be in the works if you spot these chart formations in daily or weekly charts. Examples of such patterns include head & shoulder, double top, triple top, double bottom, triple bottom etc.

In addition to looking for these chart patterns, you can also make use of the momentum indicators to tell you if a trend is nearing its end. Momentum indicators also known as oscillators are leading indicators. They help in identifying a trend reversal before time.

MACD comprises of 3 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). The MACD line is the difference between the 12 period Exponential Moving Average and 26 periods Exponential Moving Average. Usually a signal line consisting of 9 periods Exponential Moving Average is plotted together with the MACD line. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is one of the simplest, yet most dependable indicators for a trader.

A better visualization of the MACD is in the form of a histogram. A bullish signal is given when MACD line crosses above its signal line. A bearish signal occurs when the MACD line crosses below its signal line.

The MACD histogram tracks the speed of the price action. For example, if the price move accelerates with an upside breakout to a higher level as more and more buyers enter the rally, the histogram should become bigger.

As the speed of the price movement accelerates in a quick rally, each line becoming longer than the previous line. On the other hand, each line will become shorter than the previous line. When the price movement decelerates, the histogram will contract.

When the currency pair rallies to a new high but the MACD histogram declines then a bearish divergence is formed. You can detect trend reversal breakout with the help of a MACD divergence signals. Read the next part of this article for more.

When the currency price moves beyond the period of consolidation or range trading, a breakout typically occurs. Massive profits are what breakout trading can provide you. Who doesnt want to reap massive profits from a big price move in a short time?

There are times when trading the breakout can be very profitable even though breakouts are known to be technically unstable. A breakout occurs when the price moves above or below a support or resistance level whether temporarily or permanently.

You will have to take into account many market factors including both the technical and the fundamental analysis in order to trade breakouts with a higher probability of success.

Both stocks and futures are traded on a centralized exchange. At the end of the day the traders can find out the volume of each security that had been traded during the day. The volume information is easily available for stocks and futures. Information about volume is critical to trading the breakout.

However, volume data is not available for currency markets due to its Over the Counter nature. This data cannot be collected due to the decentralized nature of the currency markets. Volume reveals where the market is positioned or positioning. Lack of forex volume data is a huge disadvantage to forex traders.

Volume is a very important criterion for any breakout trading strategy as successful breakouts are generally accompanied by a rise in volume. When the price attempts a breakout of a significant support or resistance level, it signals a change in the underlying supply and demand conditions possibly triggered by a change in market sentiments caused by some new markets fundamentals.

Price breakouts can be of two types: 1) Continuation Breakouts and 2) Reversal Breakouts. Successful breakouts must be accompanied with a strong surge of momentum in the direction of the breakout in order to be sustainable. Poor momentum will generally lead to the fizzling out of the breakout and continuation of the existing trend.

Continuation Breakout: In a continuation breakout, currency prices break out of an established price level to again resume the underlying trend. The breakout occurs after a period of consolidation in which the buyers and sellers of the currency pair try to regroup and think about the next price move. The price action climbs higher in continuation of an uptrend or falls further lower in a downtrend.

Reversal Breakout: A breakout my lead to a trend reversal and the beginning of a new trend in the opposite direction! Reversal breakout means a new trend in the opposite direction caused by new market fundamentals.

The prices may break the support or resistance but then retreat back into the previous price zone. A false breakout can always occur. There are many times when the price action does not move in a straightforward direction in the markets.

If they have placed their stops just above or below the resistance or support levels, stopping out most of the breakout traders! The worst kind of a breakout is the whipsaw type.

There are some technical formations where the false breakouts are more likely to occur in the currency price charts. You should be able to identify likely false breakouts in order to employ the breakout fading strategy. You need to apply a lot of common sense in identifying a false breakout.

Head and Shoulders Pattern: This chart pattern is the hardest for new traders to identify. The head and shoulder pattern consists of three points of rallies. The middle rally is the highest with the left and right being smaller. The pattern resembles the head and shoulder pattern of a human. Dont confuse it with a shampoo. A neckline can be drawn connecting the lows of the left and right shoulders.

The head and shoulder pattern is usually found in the middle or end of an uptrend. An inverted head and shoulder pattern can also be found in the middle or end of a downtrend. If the head and shoulder pattern is found at the end of an uptrend, it signals a bearish reversal or a consolidation period before the uptrend is continued.

If they are buying up the rallies from the support level, many traders who have identified the head and shoulder pattern as a possible breakout signal place their stop loss orders below the neckline. Head and shoulder patterns are notorious for precipitating a false breakout.

Similarly, if they are shorting the decline from the resistance level, traders place their stop loss orders above the neckline of the inverted head and shoulder pattern. Traders can also place numerous entry stop orders below the neckline or above the inverse neckline in anticipation of a breakout besides the stop loss orders.

Most of the time, false breakouts are triggered by the market makers to shake out the positions of small traders. The prices will usually rebound and there maybe explosive price movements off the neckline in the pre breakout zone.

You may choose to place a stop loss slightly below the high of the second shoulder or slightly above the low of the second shoulder. You may fade the breakout with a limit of market entry order a few pips above the neckline or a few pips below the inverse neckline. It is always best to assume that the first break of a head and shoulder pattern will tend to be false.

Double Top and Double Bottom: A double top formation consists of two rally peaks separated by a valley. The two peaks need not be of the same height. A double bottom is simply an inverted image of a double top. The problem with this chart pattern is also this that it is used by novice traders as a signal for possible breakout.

Using this chart pattern as an indication for a likely breakout makes these traders easy bait for the big players. Fading breakout is more effective in range bound markets. The breakout fading strategy usually does not work well when the market is in a strong trending phase.

However, every false breakout may not be the result of the tricks big players use. Market running out of steam to reach higher highs and lower lows in a sustained price break may also give you a false breakout.

When there are not enough buyers in the market to sustain an upward price move or not enough sellers in the market to sustain a downward price move, the breakout may not be sustainable and may fade out soon. Individual traders have higher chances of success if they also fade the breakout since the big players like to fade breakouts.

Fading breakouts is counterintuitive. It is not something instinctive. Everyone wants big easy profits. Profits potential in price breakout is far higher than in a failed breakout. The question is how to identify a false breakout.

You should look for opportunities on a minimum time frame of hourly or more. False breakouts can occur anywhere on the price charts at the levels of support and resistance.

You need to know how to draw trendlines. Trendlines are drawn by joining at least two extreme points of highs or lows over a long period of time. They can be horizontal or sloping. The price will bounce off the trendline in a false breakout and the probability of a false breakout is higher if the trendline is at an angle or a gradient.

The chances of this fading breakout are more if the moving average lies slightly above the descending trendline or slightly below the ascending trendline. Usually the third or sometimes even fourth extreme point of contact on a gently sloping trendline presents a good fading opportunity.

The chances of a false breakout or a trendline bounce will be much higher if the prices are approaching the trendline slowly and gently. The speed of price movement before the approach to the trendline should be considered. It is very important in identifying a fading breakout.

The fast and high amplitude approach will most likely result in a successful price breakout of the trendline on the other hand. There will be a sustained follow through in prices due to the high momentum. In such a case, dont trade it as a likely false breakout.

You will want to know how to trade a fading breakout? You should place a limit or market entry order a few pips below a down trendline or above an up trendline. You can stagger your entry orders by placing another order a few pips away from the breakout if you are an aggressive trader.

Now there are a few chart patterns that are ideal for identifying the false breakouts. You should read the next part of this article for more on those chart patterns. About placing staggered entry orders for fading breakouts, you should do it with a proper money management plan. Stops should be placed at least 20-30 pips beyond the support or resistance, away from the price zone. This will make your average cost of entry more favorable for either your long position or your short position.

There must be a seller for each buyer and a buyer for each seller. If there is so much market demand to buy above a resistance level or sell below the support, the broker acting as the market maker has to absorb all these orders. However, you must know that the market maker is not a fool.

Most of the retail traders being new or inexperienced individual investor like to trade the breakouts! The new traders learn technical analysis. They tend to most eagerly follow trade recommendations based on certain chart patterns recommended in the technical analysis courses.

Most of the successful traders are contrarian in their trading approach. The seasoned traders do exactly the opposite of what the crowd is expected to do. They prefer to fade breakouts.

For every loser, there is a winner. Trading is a zero sum game. Most of the breakouts fail because the institutional or the seasoned traders take advantage of the crowd psychology of the retail or inexperienced traders and win at their expense.

Understand the tricks that can be played by the forex dealers and seasoned traders. Market makers, mostly the forex dealers and brokers can fade breakouts. Their game plan is simple. They will make money from the majority of the crowd. The crowd thinks that prices will rally happily after an upside breakout. Similarly, the crowd thinks that it will decline dangerously after a downside breakout.

Market makers have to take the opposite side of your trade whether you like it or not. They are the pricing counterparties to the retail traders like you and me. Suppose most of the retail traders have placed their stop entry order at a certain price above the resistance level.

Market makers reach into their pockets and spend some of their money to bid up the price to that level where most of the stop entry levels have been placed. Now they can sell to most of the traders who are desperate to buy thus making some decent profits from this trick.

By selling to the retail crowd, market makers get the chance to close their long positions. Now they begin to overwhelm the buying crowd by going short. This pushes the prices down, below the breakout level. Many stop loss orders have been placed by the retail traders who wanted to trade the upside breakout at this price level.

Market makers have the information of their customers orders from their order book. Thus a potential conflict of interest exists. By buying from the retail traders who are selling to close their losing breakout trades, market makers happily offload their short positions now. Retail traders must know how to protect themselves.

Retail crowd thinks that the false breakout is due to the sudden turning of the market. These false breakouts are most likely the direct result of the games market makers play. Market makers often go on the stop hunting spree. False breakouts maybe the consequence of that!

Suppose you believe that the currency prices will not be able to follow through action in the direction of the breakout. Fading breakouts refers to trading against breakouts. When we believe that breakouts from support and resistance levels to be false and unsustainable we fade breakouts.

False breakouts are also known as fakeouts. False breakouts are a bane for breakout traders but boon for breakout faders. Fading breakouts tends to be more effective as a short term strategy. It is not meant to be a long term strategy.

Support level attracts the buyers enthusiasm for higher bids. It prevents the price from falling further. The resistance level attracts the sellers enthusiasm for shorting and it prevents the price action from advancing higher. Support and resistance are seen as the price floor and the price ceiling respectively.

It is perfectly logical for the crowd to think that if the support level is penetrated, then the price action should move downward. The crowd is more likely to sell than to buy when the price action breaks the support level from above. The idea of trading breakouts appeals to many independent traders especially those new to currency trading. The crowd likes to trade the breakout.

The opposite is true of a price break above the resistance level and the crowd usually concludes that if the resistance is broken, then the prices are more likely to advance higher in the rally. Hence, the crowd is more likely to buy than to sell when the price action breaks the resistance level from below.

Now you can understand why there tends to be large number of entry stop orders placed just above a resistance level and also placed below a support level. You will also find clusters of stop loss orders placed by traders who have brought near the support level or have sold near the resistance level.

So when the price action breaks out above the resistance level, short positions will be stopped out. Similarly, long positions will be stopped out when the currency prices crosses below the support level.

Why most breakouts fail? One of the most important reasons why most breakouts fail is due to the fact that smart traders need to take the money from the novice and inexperience traders. The majority will cash out of the trading game broke. Always remember, it does not always pay to have the same mentality as the crowd.

Smart money belongs to the big players who have a couple of tricks to sabotage the crowd. The crowd holds the dumb money with the weak hands. Money has to be made from the majority. Not from the minority who got it right and know how to play the games.

The most money is made when the crowd turns out to be wrong. When the crowd scrambles to get out of their losing positions, it causes vertical rallies or declines. Read Part II for more.

Day traders often rake up major commissions charges if they are trading stocks which makes it that much more difficult to beat the overall market. In case of currency trading, the cost of trading is hidden in the bid/ask spreads offered by the broker. So the more you day trade, the higher your trading cost will become. In the end, if you are unable to breakeven, you cannot survive long in day trading.

Swing trading also entails facing stiff trading costs in the shape of spread in case of currencies or commissions if you are trading stocks. But these trading costs are nothing as severe as in day trading. Because price action spans several days to several weeks, market fundamentals can come into play to a larger degree as compared to day trading.

The holding period is longer in swing trading than in day trading. Swing trading can also generate higher potential profits on single trades. Day to day currency movements are due less to market fundamentals and more to short term supply and demand of currencies or shares.

Day trading demands lots of attention and time commitment from you. There is a misconception that day trading can be taken as a hobby. It is stressful and a winning position can turn into a losing one within seconds. If you want to permanently take on day trading, you have to have strong nerves.

Swing trading with an eye on earning additional income or improving the returns on your portfolio is less stressful than swing trading for a living. Currency markets are open 24/5. You can trade anytime of the day. You can enter or exit a position even late hours. Swing trading currency markets can be very profitable. Now the good thing about swing trading is that you can take it full time or part time.

Part time swing trading means doing analysis when you get home from work and then implementing trades the following day! Even though you may not be able to watch the market all day, you can enter stop loss orders to protect your capital. If you eventually want full time swing trading, you should first go though this phase first.

Swing trading part time is suitable for you if you have a full time job but can devote a few hours a week to analyzing markets and securities or currencies. You should have a passion for financial markets and short term trading. If you are achieving subpar results in your current investment portfolios from your financial advisors or third party then you can take up part time swing trading.

Again swing trading is not for fun. Part time swing trading is for you if you are not a gambler. Swing trading is for you if you dont take undue risks like doubling down your positions after a losing trade. You should also have the discipline to consistently place stop loss orders.

By swing trading instead of day trading, you are able to commit less capital to the markets to reach extraordinary gains. At the end of the day, when it comes down to is the fact that you need to determine your trading style before you become serious in trading.

Determining your trading style is very important right from the beginning. Not knowing what type of a trader you are can make or break your trading career. Take the analogy of a cricket team. There are 11 players in each team in the match. All players are talented and super fit. Everyone can throw and catch the ball. However some are more skilled at balling. Others are more skilled at batting. If the baller is going to do the job of the batter, not many runs will be made and the match will be lost.

In general there are three type of trading styles: Position trading, swing trading and day trading. Investing in the currency markets or stock markets is also the same. It depends on your personality makeup what type of trading is best suited to you. You need to know what type of trading style is for you.

In currency trading, position trading means you are in a trade for many months trying to capitalize on a major long term move in the market. Position Trading is generally the buy and hold strategy of investing in stocks over a long haul. Usually positions traders are in a trade for a large long term move like when you carry trade AUD/JPY. Options traders can also be position traders through covered calls and other strategies.

Swing trading is possibly the most dynamic of the three types of trading as the swing trader is able to switch up holding times quickly as the market demands. Swing Trading means taking short term positions in anticipation of quick market movements over a series of days or weeks. Swing traders take advantage of technical and fundamental analysis.

Day trading is not easy and it is certainly not a hobby. Sometimes when the positions warrants holding for a longer period, day trading can become swing trading! In Day Trading, you attempt to capitalize on intraday movements with the markets often trading on momentum and news. Day traders are also known as Kings of Stress.

You should note that if you dont have time to watch your trades every moment, you should not think of day trading. Day trading is the riskiest of the three trading styles. Day trading is ideal for those who are able to handle erratic market movements while actually also having time to monitor the positions throughout the day.

Swing Trading Is a Better Alternative to Day Trading Many people are attracted to the glamour and excitement of day trading. Day trading hardly ever ends up well especially if the trader has no previous professional trading experience. Only 10% of the day traders succeed. Most day trader usually blow up their accounts and fade away.

Swing trading can be on the other hand a much more effective trading style especially if you are a newer trader. By holding positions overnight and even for a few weeks, you can expose less money for larger moves. If you are a new trader, think about it for a moment.

You should focus on the non-commercial participants rather than on the commercial participants when you look at the COT report. You would ask the reason for ignoring the commercial category. Commercial participants are mostly trading forex futures for hedging purposes. They keep on rolling on their positions from month to month for hedging even though they maybe taking losses. This way they are hedging the foreign exchange risk for their business transactions.

However, large speculators like the hedge funds and the banks trade the forex futures contract for speculation and capital gains only. Most will immediately close their losing position instead of rolling it over to the next month. Large speculators do not have any intention of taking delivery of the currency in cash like the commercial participants.

There is a close correlation between the forex futures market and the spot forex market. By gauging market sentiment in the forex futures market, you can also gauge the market sentiment in the spot forex market.

Near the maturity of the forex futures contract, the spot forex and the currency future prices converge. Prices become equal on maturity. Currency futures are basically spot prices adjusted for the forwards based on the interest rate differentials to arrive at the future delivery price.

Forex futures are traded on a Centralized Exchange Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). CME functions as a clearing house between the counter parties. The main difference between the spot forex market and the forex futures market is that the spot forex market is not a centralized market. It is an Over the Counter (OTC) market. So no volume and net position data is available for the spot forex market.

You should become familiar with the differences in price quotation system used in both the markets. When either the spot or the future price of the currency rises, the other also tends to rise and when either falls, the other also tend to falls. For example, if GBP futures price goes up spot price of GBP/USD goes up too. The spot and futures prices of a currency tend to move in tandem.

Calculate the net position of the non-commercial contract by subtracting the long position total from the short position total. Usually when a particular currency is trending up against the US Dollar, the non-commercials tend to register a net long position as the large speculators would like to continue riding the trend.

The opposite is also true when a particular currency is trending down against the US Dollar. When the market is trending down against USD, the non-commercials will have a net short position. By comparing the latest net positioning with that of the past few weeks or months, you can tell if the latest net positioning is skewing towards an extreme reading.

You can detect turning points in the spot forex market with the COT reports by keeping an eye on the net directional positioning and net contract volume in the non-commercial category. When the majority of the market is positioned incorrectly, dramatic price moves like the major turning points tend to occur.

You can use your COT report analysis to optimize your trading strategies. Entry and exit cannot be timed solely based on COT report but it can generate warning signals of a possible turn ahead in the spot forex market. What deters many traders from using the COT report is its raw organization of data. COT report is a treasure trove.

The mood of the currency market depends on what the majority of the traders are thinking about the present market situation. How do you measure the currency market sentiment? You can get an idea of the overall market sentiment by reading reports written by analyst and financial journalist in the news wires. You can also join online trading forums to see what other traders are thinking about the current market situation to form your opinion on the market sentiment.

You may think that the other traders are in a buying or selling mood. But that may not be what is really happening in reality. This way of getting the feel of the market sentiment is not very accurate.

How do you gauge the market sentiment effectively then? You can accurately gauge the market sentiment by reading the Commitment of Traders (COT) report. What is COT? The COT report provides the detailed positioning information about the futures market.

COT report is one of the most underrated reports. Many forex traders dont know about it. Forex traders can use COT report to gauge the market sentiment. You can assess the COT report on the CFTC website for free. The COT report is compiled and released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the United States on a weekly basis every Friday at 15:30 EST.

Basically two types of COT reports are made available. The one is the futures only COT Report and the second is the futures and options combined COT Report. A look at the futures only COT report will give you the glimpse of what has happened in the futures currency market and its implications for the spot forex market.

Savvy currency traders spend their weekends going through the COT report. The data used in the COT report is three days old. No doubt there is a time lag between the reporting of data and the release of the report. But still you can use this report to gauge the market sentiment. The information in the COT report can be nonetheless useful to you. It hardly takes fifteen minutes to make a judgment.

There are three categories in the COT report. The three categories are: 1) Commercial, 2) Non-commercial and 3) Non-reportable. The COT report tells you the long and short positions undertaken by participants from each category.

Commercial: The commercial category consists of those currency futures market participants who use the futures contract for hedging purposes. These commercial participants are mostly exporters and importers in the market. They are hedging against the currency fluctuations for the next few months. Lets take an example, suppose Japanese company Toyota expects to receive $500 million worth of sales from the US market in the next quarter.

Toyota Company will short $500 millions in JPY currency futures for the next few months to hedge against the USD decline. Similarly suppose the US pharmaceutical company is looking to exports $50 million worth of drugs to the Japanese market in the next quarter. It will long $50 million JPY currency futures till the next quarter when the revenue is in fact realized.

Non-commercial: The non-commercial category consists of large speculators. Hedge funds, banks, institutional investors and so on are included in this category. These are the major players who speculate in currency futures for quick capital gains.

Non-reportable: This category comprises small speculators like you and me. They are also known as the retails traders or individual traders.

People all over are getting interested in currency trading as an alternative to stock market investing since trading in the forex market seems to be much easier and takes place around the clock. To be successful in the forex market, you should start off by getting involved in the best training available. This is the key to entering and succeeding in and making good trades.

While some people leap into FX currencies before they learn to crawl, you will make the most money by learning as much as you can before you take the real-world plunge. This training is the foundation to your success and will propel you forward into unlimited possibilities.

People are making a lot of money trading currencies. It is exciting to watch your investments grow as the currency values shift in your favor. However, it can also be an emotional rollercoaster ride when the currencies start fluctuating. Learning to managing your emotions is one of the keys to successful trading. This is something that all successful traders have in common.

So how can describe currency trading? It is simply the activity of trading currencies between two or more countries. As the value of each country’s currency fluctuates, you either lose money or make a profit on the difference of that fluctuation. It’s just that simple and this is why it has become so popular.

It is important to learn as much as possible before you trade real money. Start by searching the Internet on the subject of forex trading. You will find many websites devoted to teaching you all of the basics. Some are free to join while others may require a small fee.

Visit your local bookstore and ask the sales representative for references to learning forex. A good book should cover all the basics as well as some great starting strategies. College classes also provide a great foundation for learning the currency markets. In most cases the instructors are experienced traders themselves and can provide you wit a wealth of insight.

A comprehensive forex education should center on the basic principles of investing into world currencies and cover real investment strategies as well. There’s a lot to learn. This means you will have to learn how the markets work, the tools that traders use such as charting and reading signals, and most importantly, how to enter and exit a trade successfully. This is the key to managing risks and predicting possible gains.

A good system of training will also teach you how to open an account. This should be done on a practical level with a demo account. There is nothing better than hands on training when it comes to learning currency trading. This way you get to actually experience what it is like before you commit real money. It is the best way to learn.

Economic growth of countries can also have a big impact on the overall currency market sentiment besides the interest rates. When the economy overheats, inflationary pressures increase forcing the Central Banks to increase the interest rates in order to cool the economy. US economy is the key factor in determining the global currency market sentiment. United States is the largest economy in the world. US economic news can and does affect the major currency pairs like EUR/USD, GBP/USD, CHF/USD and JPY/USD.

A strong economic expansion coupled with a healthy labor market tends to boost consumer spending in the country. Good economic growth means low unemployment. Low unemployment means jobs for the people. It helps in selling the stuff produced by the local companies and businesses.

A country with a strong economy is in a better position to attract foreign investors. Investments pouring into the country increase the demand for that currency. This increased demand causes that currency to strengthen against other currencies.

Some of the most important indicators of a country economic growth are: 1) Gross Domestic Product, 2) The unemployment rate and 3) The trade balance. Lets discuss these three economic indicators.

GDP: GDP measures the total good and services that are produced in a particular country in a one year. Actually we will be usually talking about the GDP growth rate whether the economy is expanding or contracting. A healthy GDP growth rate figure usually adds a bullish sentiment to the currency of that country especially if it exceeds the market expectations. Always remember the markets react violently to surprises.

Unemployment Rate: A low unemployment rate is considered to be a positive for the countrys economy and its currency. A low unemployment rate means almost all the consumers have jobs and they are willing to spend more. The more the consumer spends, the more the companies and businesses in the country sell. This generates more output and further expands the economy. The unemployment rate data reports the state of the labor market in the country. The opposite is true for a high unemployment rate. High unemployment means the economy is in recession and many people are without jobs just like the present. Under such conditions, consumer spending decreases. Companies and businesses start laying off more workers and in extreme case go bankrupt when they cant sell their stuff in the markets.

Trade Balance: Current account balance is very important for measuring the health of a particular economy. If a country exports more than it imports, the trade balance is in surplus. If the imports are more than the exports, the country will end up with a trade deficit. Trade Balance is the net exports in short. This is another widely watched economic indicator in fundamental analysis. Current account deficit must be balanced by the capital account surplus otherwise a balance of payment problem will ensue. Trade deficits are not good.

For example, suppose US import more from Europe. USD will have to be sold in order to buy Euros to pay for those imports. This will result in the depreciation of USD relative to the Euro and other currencies. The opposite is true in case of a trade surplus. USD will strengthen relative to Euro if US exports more to Europe as compared to its imports.

Geopolitical risk is also very important. It refers to the risk of a countrys foreign or domestic policy affecting domestic social and political stability in another country or the region. Geopolitical risk can cause the currency of a country to move up or down relative to other currencies in short as well as long term.

You will want to know the factors that influence market sentiment. Trends in interest rates are one of the most significant factors influencing market sentiment. Interest rates play a major role affecting the supply and demand of currencies in the global financial markets.

Interest rates in each country are decided by the respective central banks. Every currency in the world has an interest rate attached to it. FED determines the interest rates in US. Reserve Bank of New Zealand determines the interest rates in New Zealand. Similarly the Bank of Japan determines the interest rates in Japan.

Some governments want more foreign investment. Those currencies will have a higher interest rate. Investors are always looking for a better interest rate yield on fixed income securities. These currencies will attract the most attention from the savvy international investors. Global movement of money also depends on the economic and geopolitical risks between countries.

What causes fluctuations in the interest rates? In simple terms, inflation! The value of money decreases when there is an upward revision of prices of most goods and services in the country.

Central banks are responsible for ensuring the price stability in the domestic economies. Central banks control inflationary pressures by increasing the interest rates. Monetary policy is an important tool for the central banks.

If the inflationary pressures are increasing in the economy, FED would raise the Federal Fund Rate. This is the rate the banks charge each other for overnight loans. When overnight rates are changed, retail banks will adjust their prime banking rates accordingly affecting businesses and individuals.

The most important way in which interest rates can affect the currencies is through the widespread practice of carry trade. A carry trade involves shorting of a low interest rate currency to go long on a higher interest rate currency in order to gain the difference between the two interest rates. This difference is known as the Interest Rate Differential.

So you can see currencies with higher interest rates are highly sought after by investors looking for a higher return on their investments. The carry trader is paid the interest rate on the currency on which he/she is long. He/she must pay the interest rate on the shorted currency.

Investors tend to shift their assets to higher interest rate currency from lower interest rate currency. They have to buy that currency for that transfer of funds and assets. This increased demand for the currency pushes the currency price relative to other currencies. As a general rule, rising interest rates tend to strengthen a currency relative to other currencies.

In 2005, Japan was offering almost zero interest rates on Japanese Yen deposits. The interest rates had been made almost zero to fight a decade long deflationary cycle and kick start the economy again. There was a lot of interest in Japanese investors to invest in New Zealand dominated assets. NZD was paying a higher interest rate as compared to the near zero interest rate being offered on JPY.

So in general rising interest rates should boost the market sentiment for that particular currency relative to other currencies. The opposite is also true and interest rates cut would result in bearish sentiments regarding the currency of that country relative to other currencies.

Do you see the market as a big mechanical matrix which is devoid of emotions? How do you view the forex market is very important. Most traders have a love hate relationship with the market thinking that the market is either against them or for them.

At a particular moment in time, the market is emanating the emotions of currency speculators sitting on their trading desks or on their computers around the world. The truth is that forex market is just the compressed display of these emotions.

You should think of a market as a big living organism. Think that this organism is made up of millions of cells. Each cell is doing its own functions. Each cell also interacts with other cells of the body keeping the living organism alive and kicking around the clock.

A forex market comprises millions of participants acting out their perceptions and emotions. Knowing what the market thinks and how it thinks is crucial to trading success.

You need to know what the other participants are thinking. Ultimately, you as the trader are dealing with other traders out there whether they are big institutional players or an independent trader.

Market sentiment is the most important factor that drives the markets especially the currency markets and other financial markets. What is the market sentiment? Market sentiment is simply what the majority of the market participants are perceived to be thinking or feeling about the market at anyone time.

Traders tend to act based on what they feel and think of certain currencies regarding their strengths or weaknesses relative to other currencies. Market sentiment sums up to the overall dominating emotions of the market participants. It explains the current actions of the market as well as the future course of action.

Market sentiment is primarily based on the participating traders emotions. These emotions are one of the greatest factors in the determination of the currency exchange rate. One thing you should know is that market sentiment is not logical.

It is like a fickle lover. The incoming new information can upset the existing emotion. Markets are capable of changing its mind based on new information. Market sentiment can be bearish, bullish or just plain confused.

If the majority of the market participants want to buy that currency, the market sentiment is bullish. If the majority wants to sell the currency, the market sentiment is deemed to be bearish. When most market participants are unsure of what to do at a particular moment, the sentiments end up being mixed up.

Suppose you can understand what the other traders are thinking and why the market is doing what it is doing. You will be in a better position to plan the entry and exit for your trade. Understanding the current market sentiment is important for you. You can exploit it with an appropriate strategy that can help maximize your trading profits. In Part II of this article we will discuss what factors influence the market sentiment in the short term as well as the long term.

Modified capitalization weighting involves adjustments to the capitalizations of the various component issues of the Nasdaq-100 index. The NDX contract at the CBOE is based on Nasdaq-100 as is the MNX. The Nasdaq-100 is a modified capitalization weighted index.

Frank Russell Company is one of the leading global investment consultants. It is also involved in performance measurement, analysis and investment management. Russell 2000 is the well known benchmark for small capitalization sector. Several Russell Indexes have become benchmarks for specific areas of investment management.

Russell 3000 Index as the name implies includes 3000 issues. These 3000 companies represent 98% of the investable US equities. The index is adjusted for certain factors such as cross holdings and the number of pairs in hands.

Russell 3000 is further split into subsets like Russell 1000 Index. It covers the top 1000 about 92% of the value of the entire 3,000 stock index. The Russell 2000 Index is the smallest 2000 companies in the Russell 3000 Index.

Dow Jones is the publisher of the Wall Street journal. The Wall Street Journal is probably one of the most perfect business franchises from the business point of view. The net worth of most of its readers is in seven figures. Wall Street Journal is a franchise that is very hard to duplicate.

DJIA became an important business barometer over the years. Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) comprising 12 smokestack companies made its debut in the year 1896 and it grew to encompass 30 large industrial companies.

The DJIA is still one of the worlds best known stock measures. The average is maintained by the editors of the Wall Street Journal. It consists of 30 largest and most liquid blue chip stocks in the US.

The DJIA unlike the S&P 500, Russell 3000 Indexes or the Nasdaq-100 is a price weighted average. The highest price issues hold the most influence over the average. Recently Microsoft (MSFT) and Intel were added to the DJIA.

A 1 percent move in a $90 Microsoft stock would have a greater impact than a 1 percent move in a $30 Intel stock. ETFs exit on many Dow Indexes like the DJIA, the Dow Jones Total Market Index, the Dow Jones Global Titan Index and various sector indexes.

Wilshire serves over 400 organizations in over 20 countries representing over $2 trillion in assets. Wilshire flagship index is the Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index.

Over the years, it has increased to 6500 issues representing the increase in the number of companies in the US. It represents the broadest index for the US equity markets.

The Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) database contains nearly 25,000 securities. This database covers equities in 50 countries and one of the advantages of MCSI and its foreign indexes is consistency. MSCI calculates nearly 3,000 indexes daily and services a client base of over 1,200 worldwide.

There are 100s of ETFs and HOLDRS covering key industry benchmarks such as the various Standard & Poor Indexes, Russell Indexes or the Dow Jones Averages. There are ETFs that cover the other less well known narrow based sectors.

For example SPY tracks the Standard & Poors 500 Composite Index and is the largest of the ETFs. You should know the major indexes that are either key benchmarks or have ETFs tied to them.

Standard & Poor: Standard & Poor (S&P) is the financial services segment of the McGraw Hill companies. It has been providing independent and objective financial information, analysis and research for nearly 140 years.

It is also the provider of equity indexes. Investors around the globe use S&P Indexes for investment performance measurement. These indexes are also used as the basis for wide variety of financial instruments such as Index Funds, Futures, Options and ETFs.

S&P 500 Composite is one of the most popular indexes in the global financial markets. It is also used as a key benchmark for money manager performance. Hundreds of companies around the world have licenses with the Standards & Poors for their index products. The influence and name recognition of S&P 500 is unparalleled.

The S&P 500 is a capitalization weighted index that tracks the performance of 500 large capitalization issues. S&P 500 represents more than 75% of the capitalization of the entire US Stock Market. Each year thousands of money managers have the single minded goal of outperforming the S&P 500.

The stocks in the S&P 500 are determined by a nine member committee in accordance with the general guidelines. 30 years back most of the stocks in S&P 500 were from the Industrial Sector. Over the years, the complexion of S&P 500 has changed. By 1970s, six of the top companies were from the Oil Sector. In 2000s, technology composed about one third of the capitalization of the index.

The other Standard & Poors indexes are the S&P Midcap 400 Index and it is based on 400 chosen domestic stocks. It is also capitalization based and measures the performance of the midsize companies of the US economy.

S&P SmallCap 600 is also capitalization weighted index and is of interest to institutional and retail investors. The S&P SmallCap 600 Index consists of 600 smallcap domestic stocks and these stocks are chosen for market size and liquidity. There are also sub-indexes based on these S&P Indexes.

NASDAQ: You will often hear the Nasdaq market being up or down on a given day in the media. NASDAQ Composite Index contains more than 4500+ companies representing a market capitalization of trillions of dollars.

There is another Nasdaq Index called the Nasdaq-100. NASDAQ-100 is composed of the top 100 nonfinancial companies in the Nasdaq Stock Market like Microsoft etc. It is a modified capitalization weighted index. The QQQ is based on the Nasdaq-100 Index.

You should understand how to select stop orders to limit your potential losses and how to let profits ride. Managing risk and using systems that helps evaluate price changes is critical for a trader if he/she is to maintain a degree of profitability over time.

Managing risk should be your number one job and capturing as much profit as possible from winning trades should be your utmost goal. The descriptions of the types of stops and the pros and cons of each should help you make the right decisions for the different market conditions.

You should know the various types of stop loss orders. You should also know where and when to place these stops. Predetermined stop loss orders help you conquer your emotions. Stops should be part of the trading system and included in your trading rules.

Stop orders can be placed close to the entry level when volatility is low. However, when the volatility is high, stop orders should be placed further from the entry level. Set a stop objective. Weigh the risk/reward ratio before entering each trade.

Initially you will form an opinion based on your gut feelings that is substantiated by a trade signal. When entering a trade make sure you know where and why to put the stop order.

However, you will undoubtedly get caught in the news driven price shock events. It makes the markets highly unpredictable in the short run. These news releases create price spikes that may make an adverse move against your position.

Stop orders can also be placed to enter positions. Stop orders that you place online if the market trades at a certain price, then the order is triggered and become a market order to be filled in by the next best price available. Stop orders are placed to protect against losses.

Sell stops are placed below the current market price. Buy stops are placed above the current market price. Protective stops are used to offset a position and to protect against losses and against accrued profits.

You can set a daily dollar amount on the loss limit. Suppose you want to risk only $250 per $100,000 standard lot position. Stops can be placed on a dollar amount per position. Your stop loss should be placed 25 pips from your entry point.

Traders use 2-5% of the overall account size as their stop loss. Suppose your trading account size is $10,000. You can also use a certain percent of your overall account size as your stop loss. This comes out to be $200-$500.

Many traders tend to turn winners into losers as they get in the let it ride mindset. The trailing stop reduces the chance to let trades ride. Swing traders can use the automatic trailing stop. This makes the decision making process fully automated.

Every trading strategy needs to take into account the upcoming news and data releases before the position is opened. You should know the schedule of all data releases and news events most likely to occur during the anticipated time horizon of your trading strategy.

You should have a good understanding of what the market is expecting in terms of event outcomes to anticipate how the market is most likely to react. One important thing that you should not lose sight of is that forex markets are highly integrated with the other financial markets.

You must know how gold prices are going to affect USD. There is a negative correlation between the gold prices and USD. Gold prices are on the rise. Gold has always been considered to be the ultimate hedge against the financial turmoil. You need to develop the habit of looking at whats going on in other markets. You should try to anticipate the fall out of other markets on the forex market. Forex markets function alongside other major financial markets like stocks, futures, commodities (particularly gold and oil), bonds, options etc. There are important psychological relationships between these markets and the currency market.

Look back over the whole process to understand what you did right and what you did wrong. How did you identify the trade opportunity? Was it based on technical analysis, fundamental analysis or a combination of the two? Evaluate your trading results after each trade, regardless of the outcome.

For example, if your winning trades are more as a technical trader, you should probably devote more energy to that approach. Looking at your trade this way will help you identify your strengths and weaknesses as a fundamental trader or a technical trader.

You should also ask yourself was the position size sufficient to match the risk and reward scenario or was it too large or too small. Could you have entered at a better level? What tools you might have used to improve your entry timing? Were you patient enough in your trade or did you rush to make hasty decisions?

Were you effectively able to monitor your trade after it was open and active? If so how? If not, why not? The answers to these questions will reveal a lot about how much time and dedication you are able to devote to your trading.

Evaluating your trading results on a regular basis is an essential step in improving your trading performance. Forex trading is all about getting out of it what you put into it. This will help you in maximizing your trading strengths, minimizing your trading weaknesses and refining your trading style. Ask yourself these questions. Their answers will reveal the role emotions play in trading. Controlling your emotions in trading is crucial to your long term success.

There are two approaches to learning currency trading. Practice the demo account a little and straight away jump into live action. Learn as you go. In other words, you can learn all these things on your real account by trading live. But you will have to go through the roller coaster of trying to control your emotions while blowing your account repeatedly. In my opinion, the best way to learn and experience all these things is on your demo account. Whatever trading plan you make or whatever trading strategy you like, first test it on your demo account. I keep on repeating myself. Only trade live, when you double your demo account three times in a row.

Give yourself at least three months to learn currency trading on your demo account. During those three months set the target of doubling your demo account three times in a row. It will give you the level of confidence and belief in you to make it big in the forex market. You cannot double your demo account three times in a row without going through all the above that I have pointed out.

ETFs stand for Exchange Traded Funds. Ever thought of trading ETFs? ETFs represent an ownership stake in a basket of underlying securities or assets. This basket can represent a specific index like the S&P 500 or the Nasdaq 100. It can also be a sector like semiconductor, energy or travel. It could be a segment of market like the small cap or large growth stocks. There are even ETFs on foreign currencies like Euro, Yen, and USD.

It can also comprise of bonds, gold, silver or other commodities. The value of the ETF is determined by the underlying securities. So you may be thinking this sound like a mutual fund.

ETFs can be brought and sold throughout the trading day like ordinary stocks. ETFs are different from the Mutual Funds in a number of ways. The unit price of ETF changes instantaneously unlike the Mutual Funds that are priced at the end of the trading day.

ETFs can be shorted, traded with a margin account and many trade options. There is no minimum for ETF purchases. ETFs can be traded using the market, limit and stop loss orders. So ETFs offer the diversification advantages of mutual funds and the flexibility of stocks.

Suppose you have a bullish opinion on the oil sector. You will have to analyze dozens of companies in the oil sector and spend hours to select the one that you think is the strongest. One of the main advantages of ETFs is that they offer diversification.

ETFs provide you the benefit of diversification in the same way that mutual funds do to the small retail investors. Instead of investing in a few stocks you can now invest in a particular sector just like investing in a mutual fund. You could choose the Oil Sector ETF that would give you the advantage of mimicking some oil sector index.

The key advantage that ETFs hold over mutual funds is that they can be sold or bought at anytime of the trading day. ETF prices keep on changing in relation to the underlying assets. However, mutual funds are priced only once at the end of each trading day and their NAV does not change throughout the next trading day.

Another main advantage of ETFs over mutual funds is the fees charged by each. A mutual fund charges management fees and can also charge upfront, backend or other sales loads. Expense ratios for ETFs on average are not more than 0.4%. ETF expenses are low because they are passively managed and generally follow an established index.

Currency trading has become extremely popular among the institutional investors, big companies and hedge funds. Foreign currency trading is not just for gamblers or commodity traders.

Foreign currency has become a respected asset classification. It is so hot that now you can trade Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) on currencies. As with any other product there are advantages and disadvantages of trading ETFs so you need to do your due diligence before making any investment decision.

You should know and understand that certain reports affect the price behavior of forex markets whether you are a beginner or an advanced currency trader. Your number one priority should be to look for what the voting members of the central banks are looking at present. You should focus on what they are basing their decisions to adjust interest rates if you are a serious forex trader.

FOMC stands for the Federal Open Market Committee. Thats right, the releases of the FOMC meeting announcements are important as well as the minutes of their last meeting. The minutes are released within two weeks of the last FOMC meeting.

FOMC meets eight times a year to determine the near term direction of the monetary policy. FOMC consists of the seven governors of the Federal Reserve Board and five Federal Reserve Bank presidents.

Changes in the monetary policy are announced immediately after the FOMC meetings. Wall Street anxiously watches these meetings.

Feds Beige Book is important. You should watch the report and the speaking engagement of the voting members of the FOMC. The other important report that you should follow is the individual Fed District Business Survey. This gives you the clue as to what FEDs intentions are and what its concerns are.

The Beige Book is a combination of economic conditions from each of the 12 Federal Reserve regional districts. The book is named Beige book due to the color of its cover. This report is usually released two weeks before the monetary policy meetings of the FOMC.

If the Beige book portrays an overheating economy or inflationary pressures on the economy, FOMC may decide to increase the interest rate in order to cool down the economy and reduce the inflationary pressure. This report on the economic conditions is used in the FOMC meetings to set the interest rate policy. These meeting are roughly scheduled six weeks apart.

If the Beige book portrays economic difficulties and high unemployment when the economy is in recession just like now, FOMC may lower the interest rate in order to stimulate the economy just like what the FED is doing right now. The other economic report that has a huge impact on the currency markets is the unemployment figures in the form of NFP report. NFP stands for Non Farm Payroll.

When unemployment is high, the economy maybe weak and its currency may fall in value. The unemployment rate is a strong indicator of a countrys economic strength. Non farm payroll employment tallies the number of paid employees working part time and or full time in the national public and private sector.

There are two versions of the NFP report. One is a weekly report and is released every Thursday. The other is the monthly report that is more influential and is released on the first Friday of every month.

So watch out for a situation that reveals a major change in the interest rate policy, a surprise in the employment growth or a recession in the US economy, we should see the dollar move against other major currencies. This information can help you establish your dollar bias.

In one of my articles, I talked about the criteria for developing a good mechanical trading system. There are many factors to consider while testing and evaluating a mechanical trading system. The important question is how to develop a trading system, evaluate it and then apply it with real money.

We need to not only know that the trading system is profitable for each trading system that we test. But we should also know whether it is profitable with limited equity swings. We should know does the trading system have excessive drawdown periods?

Three of the most important elements of mechanical trading systems are: 1) Clear cut rules for entry and exit for each trade. 2) Rules for exiting at profit targets and 3) Rules for exiting at loss targets or how much loss is permissible.

Does the trading system experience periods of time that result in significant losses that give back those gains when a string of multiple winners and substantial profits accrue? Do losses exceed gains more than what is tolerable in the long run?

A money management tool used by system traders is the Kelly Formula or Ratio. John Kelly while working at AT&T Bell Labs had developed the formula in 1956. Most traders do not know when to correctly add on a trading position.

It soon became popular with the gamblers. Gamblers realized its potential as an optimal betting system in horse racing. This formula enabled gamblers to maximize the size of their bets on consecutive races.

It was used to determine how much to parlay winnings into the next bet. The system is used by many traders to determine how much money to place on the next trade.

Kelly Formula is K=W-[(1-W)/R] where K is the Kelly Ratio percent value. W is the winning probability and it is the probability that any given trade that you make will return a positive amount. R is the Win/Loss Ratio. It is the total positive trade amounts divided by the total negative trade amount.

Kelly Ratio tells you the percent of your total account you should ideally be willing to risk on each trade to maximize your total returns. Suppose K is 25% then you can risk 25% of your account on each trade.

To be on the safe side you should half the ratio. Many traders argue that the Kelly Formula gives too high a figure. Suppose K is 25%. You should half it to 12.5%. It means you should not risk more than 12.5% of your account on a single trade.

You can use it in deciding which trading system is better in the long run. Kelly Formula can help you in comparing two trading systems. You should look for a trading system that has the highest Kelly Ratio.

Back testing is used to evaluate the historical performance of a trading system. It shows the strength and weaknesses of each trading system in the long run. You can use the back testing results in the Kelly Formula.

So back testing combined with the Kelly Formula can help you achieve in most market conditions, the highest trading profits with the lowest risks by choosing a trading system that is the best.

Currency traders use different approaches in their trading. Majority of successful traders use self developed mechanical trading systems. There are always advantages and disadvantages of different trading systems. The majority of unsuccessful traders depend on discrete trading method.

Many traders develop their own trading systems. There are many actively developed trading systems also known as Expert Advisors or Robots for sale. Theses robots are basically computer programs that are based on some mechanical trading system. It can vary widely in prices. The prices can be from a few hundred dollars to a few hundred thousand dollars.

The significant advantage of these programs is that they generate signals that can be used by the trader for trading. Sometimes these computer programs are developed for a certain bank or a corporation.

The discrete trading method used by many traders is like an artist trying to adapt to different market conditions and using flexibility and tactics corresponding to the particular market condition.

In case of a discrete trading method, the traders mood and health can greatly affect the outcome of each trade. The main disadvantage of the discrete trading approach is due to the stress factor influencing the trader, the unstable trade results.

Using a mechanical trading system almost completely influences the stress factor and reduces the negative pressure on a trader which is obviously a big plus. However, it prevents the trader from quick adjustment of trade tactics under changing market conditions.

A mechanical trading system also doesnt allow the quick customization of the trading system in cases like the change of the account size. There are eight requirements that any ideal trading systems should fulfill. These conditions are:

1. A trading system should allow for the maximum adjustment to any traders psychological character and makeup.

2. The trading system should depend on trading methods that are universal. It should not depend on a particular market condition at any moment of time.

3. The trading system should be simple, logical and understandable comprising of ready to use elements and units.

4. The trading system should provide specific price signals for the trader to open and close positions at the levels chosen some time in advance.

5. It must allow some room for the traders creativity.

6. There should be some flexibility to modernize and adjust the trading system in accordance with the changing market conditions without violating its main principles and elements of the trading system.

7. The trading system should relieve the trader from emotions. It should remove psychological stress in trading and should be ruled based that do not depend on emotions.

8. It should be customizable so that different traders can use the same method with different account sizes and different risk/reward appetites.

No one trading system can fulfill all these requirements. Change of market conditions could lead to negative results from a previously effective trading system.

The only way of satisfying these conditions is through developing a diversified trading system. Trading systems based on these requirements could be complex and adjustable. It can consist of a set of systems that can be used as the basis for specific trade tactics at any given moment.

The currency markets often jump after the results of the fundamental economic announcement hits the news wires. It smashes through the nearest and weakest levels of support and resistance when it does.

When the markets become violent, the price level at some point has jumped too far and too fast and pulls back. It often takes three to five minutes for the price action to reach that level. This price level is very important and this is the end of the news spike in most of the cases when the price action reaches this point and begins to pull back.

Mark this level with a horizontal line on the chart. Just before the news came out, the markets began to wake up. Some traders are placing orders on hunches, rumors and guesses. Dont forget that they cant know the results of the news before it is released.

Sometimes, this last minute volatility is created by traders exiting a trade before the news came out. So the chances are the market may move in the wrong direction as the initial reaction.

Dont pull the trigger at this point and try to preserve your capital. The news is then released suddenly. The market moves dramatically. Dont trade just because you see the market moving in a particular direction 20 seconds before the news was announced. Thousands of market orders are placed by traders just before the release of the news. This causes a lot of volatility in the markets.

There are unique risks like slippage, gapping, spreads and such. Dont pull the trigger yet. However, we now have two pieces of vital information with us now. We know the results of the economic announcement. We now know whether it was good, bad or surprising for the markets.

We also now the direction in which the market is moving. Let the market move. Stay out. Discipline is important. Dont pull the trigger. It may feel like you are missing a great trading opportunity. You are only missing the risk.

After a few minutes volatility decreases and the price begins to pull back. You have a better market to trade now. Volatility is still high. But it is not wild, crazy or out of control. Slippage risk drops to zero and the danger of spreads widening is now drastically reduced. You should now plan your trade.

The price retracements during the initial moments when the news is released are often where the novices lose money. You have avoided it by waiting for the price to pull back. You now know the direction, support and resistance of the market. The best strategy is always to trade in the direction of the market.

You can also let the news come out, let the volatility identify the support and resistance, let the price pull back, let the price bounce again and cross the horizontal line that you had drawn. Thats too much waiting and requires good patience on your part.

Your main focus should be preservation of your capital. You should only trade if the chances of winning are high as it will keep you out of bad trades. Try to gauge the reaction of the markets. If the market reacts powerfully to the news only then trade, otherwise stay out of the trade.

There are a lot of news events in the forex world. These news releases often disrupt the short term forex markets. Quarterly reports carry more weight than the monthly and weekly news. There are many strategies for news trading.

The news may shock the currency markets for a while. Sometimes, the results of fundamental economic announcements are surprising. For example, the release of the NFP figures has been moving the EUR/USD currency pair on average 100 pips for the last two years. Just within two minutes of the release of the NFP figures on 8:30 AM EST Friday about half of these pips occur.

Consider this worst case scenario. You are a news trader and immediately sell the EUR/USD currency pair within 2-5 seconds after the release of the NFP figures on Friday. However, the EUR/USD has already dropped 30 pips because of the pre news guessers who are anticipating a bad news and want to close their open positions.

Your forex broker gets thousands of EUR/USD sell orders just like yours almost at the same moment and it will take your broker a few seconds to execute all these orders. While you wait for your order to be executed, the EUR/USD price falls another 15 pips.

As no traders are placing the buy orders, the volatility is extreme to the downside. The broker widens the pips from 3 to 12. The moment your order hits the market, you are already at a 12 pips loss. You are also 45 pips away from where you thought the market would be.

All of a sudden, the EUR/USD pair starts to pull back. But you have already pulled your trigger and entered the EUR/USD sell order. Now you are at a loss of 55 pips and you exit your trade to cut your losses. You are angry and you want to blame the broker. But you cant blame the broker.

You had to sign an agreement when you opened your trading account. You should have read the agreement you made with the forex broker when opening the account. There will surely be a clause in it that says that the broker does not guarantee order execution at times of high volatility.

Do news traders always end up like this? Not always but they can and do end up behaving this way quite often depending on the importance or surprise results of the economic announcement.

So you need to develop a survival strategy that calls for the preservation of your capital at all cost while at the same time giving you maximum pips if you really want to trade the news. Do all that not to lose money.

Your priority is to reduce your risk by patiently waiting for conservative repeatable setups and not to make as much money as possible. News trading puts a traders patience to test and your objective should be to use the undue volatility to identify the important levels of support and resistance so that you can trade with high chances of winning.

Financial and capital markets react violently to the release of economic news. The release of the NFP figures, the housing sales figures, the GDP figures or other socioeconomic and political news mostly makes the currency markets nervous, volatile and jittery with huge spikes within a few moments of the news release. This volatility is what makes forex markets so attractive only if you know how to harness it.

One of the popular methods of trading currencies is to trade news releases. This type of trading strategy is intriguing to many traders as it provides the possibility of instant gratification. You lay on the trade minutes before the news release. Your heart pumps when the clock ticks within 60 seconds of the number coming out.

The news comes out. Either you feel an instant sense of elation, a trading high that you had the right instincts or an instant sense of frustration when the market behaves in a totally unpredictable fashion. News trading is great. News trading is for those traders who like a lot of action within a short period of time.

When an economic number deviates significantly from the consensus forecast, there is usually a knee jerk reaction in the markets accompanied by a decent follow through. This is the basis of news trading. News trading if done incorrectly can lead to more losers than winners. So you have to be careful. There are many ways to trade the news.

Attempting to capture the volatility in the currency markets created by a news release is what trading the news means. This volatility in the currency prices creates the breakout trade as the price action smashes through the support or resistance. You must note that a news trade is not a trade that is placed just before the news is released or is placed just after the news is released.

Many traders follow the adage, Buy the rumor and sell on the news. Many traders trade the news. You must know news trading is a risky business. There are several forms of risks unique to news trading. You should understand the risks involved in news trading.

Many brokers charge more for a trade just after news is released. The spread charged by the brokers may jump to 15 pips from 3-4 pips right after the release of the NFP Figures.

Most brokers find it difficult to enter your order just right after a news release as they are flooded by thousands of orders in just a few seconds. This means that your order may take longer to process and your trade could be entered many pips away from where you had wanted.

The stop order placed by you needs to be touched by the price before its triggered. However, sometimes after the release of fundamental news, the markets can become highly volatile and jump several pips all of a sudden.

For example on the EUR/USD pair, the price may suddenly jump from 1.3249 to 1.3255 all of a sudden on the release of the news. Suppose you had the stop loss placed at 1.3250. The price jumped from 1.3249 to 1.3255 without touching 1.3250.

Your stop loss order was not triggered. The price never touched 1.3250. You did not get stopped out. You are still in the market. You are exposed to potentially unlimited losses.

Learning to trade in the forex market can be a rewarding experience. While some people make good money trading part time, experienced traders are making a decent living trading on the forex market. In order to make money trading, you should educate yourself by taking a course or reading books on the subject.

While some people leap into FX currencies before they learn to crawl, you will make the most money by learning as much as you can before you take the real-world plunge. This training is the foundation to your success and will propel you forward into unlimited possibilities.

People are making a lot of money trading currencies. It is exciting to watch your investments grow as the currency values shift in your favor. However, it can also be an emotional rollercoaster ride when the currencies start fluctuating. Learning to managing your emotions is one of the keys to successful trading. This is something that all successful traders have in common.

Currency trading can be described as an activity in which people from different countries trade on the value of money. Each country’s currency has a different monetary value on the world market. As these values are influenced by world economics, the exchange rate also changes. If you are a trader, these differences can either make you money or cause you to lose money.

You can learn the dynamics of the forex market in one of several ways. The Internet provides a wealth of information on currency investing. This would be the first place that I would start. Many sites offer free forms of training covering all the basics. Some actually have demo accounts that you can you alongside your training.

Visit your local bookstore and ask the sales representative for references to learning forex. A good book should cover all the basics as well as some great starting strategies. College classes also provide a great foundation for learning the currency markets. In most cases the instructors are experienced traders themselves and can provide you wit a wealth of insight.

You forex training should cover all the basics of currency investing. This means learning the dynamics of the markets and how they change as well as what influences those changes. A good course should also teach you all the tools and strategies used by successful traders so you can manage risks properly. This involves learning how charts and signals work as well as the fundamentals of using these tools for maximum profits.

A good system of training will also teach you how to open an account. This should be done on a practical level with a demo account. There is nothing better than hands on training when it comes to learning currency trading. This way you get to actually experience what it is like before you commit real money. It is the best way to learn.

People all over are getting interested in currency trading as an alternative to stock market investing since trading in the forex market seems to be much easier and takes place around the clock. To be successful in the forex market, you should start off by getting involved in the best training available. This is the key to entering and succeeding in and making good trades.

The type of training you receive will make all the difference in the world. Don’t just rush into forex investing haphazardly, but seek out the information you need to propel you forward into profits. With the correct training, you will be confident in your ability to do profitable trades and you will know when it is time to exit a trade before you lose money.

People all around the world are getting wealthy investing into the forex market. It is really exciting to see your money grow as your confidence grows. On the other hand, is you lack confidence in doing trades, you will not make the right decision when the time comes to enter or exit a market. When you see market fluctuations, your emotions will override your lack of skills and confidence forcing you to make costly decisions.

So what is Forex trading? It is simply the process of exchanging the currency of one country for the currency of another. When the value of a countries currency goes up, you make money on the difference. Traders invest in various currencies in hopes to make a profit when the currencies of one country increase in value.

It is important to learn as much as possible before you trade real money. Start by searching the Internet on the subject of forex trading. You will find many websites devoted to teaching you all of the basics. Some are free to join while others may require a small fee.

A great place to get more information about forex investing is at the library. They have tons of books and other resources on investing in the financial section. If you are serious about getting a great education in forex, consider taking a college class at your community college. These are some of the best courses around and the interaction you get with your instructor is priceless.

You forex training should cover all the basics of currency investing. This means learning the dynamics of the markets and how they change as well as what influences those changes. A good course should also teach you all the tools and strategies used by successful traders so you can manage risks properly. This involves learning how charts and signals work as well as the fundamentals of using these tools for maximum profits.

A solid training system will also teach you how to open and manage a basic trading account so you can get some hands on experience. Don’t worry, you won’t be trading with real money because the accounts you will be trading in are demo accounts. By using a demo account you will gain experience and confidence you need to succeed before you enter a live account. Always remember, you can be successful at forex trading with the right training.

Many currency traders find it hard to follow simple risk management rules. Many times, they will turn winning positions into losing ones. They will be surprised to find solid trading strategies result in losses instead of profit.

Regardless of how knowledgeable and intelligent a trader maybe about the markets, their own psychology and emotions will cause them to lose money. What can be the cause? Are the markets so enigmatic that only a few succeed in making profit?

Actually the likely cause is that there are common mistakes that many traders commit in their trading. The good thing is that the problem while it can be emotionally and psychologically challenging can be grasped and solved.

Most traders lose money because they fail to understand and apply risk management rules in their trading methods. Risk management means knowing how much you are willing to risk and how much you are looking to gain in a trade.

Many traders hold onto a losing position for a long time and take profit on a winning position far too early. Without understanding risk management, the net result is that traders end up with more winning positions than losing positions. But their account Profit and Loss (P/L) is negative. Keeping these simple risk management rules in mind while you trade can help you a lot.

As a trader you should establish a risk reward ratio for every trade that you place. In simple words, you should have an idea of how much you are willing to lose and how much you expect to gain in a trade. A general rule is that your risk/reward ratio should not be less than 1:2. Having a solid risk/reward ratio ensures that you dont enter into a trade that is not worth the risk.

Use stop loss order to cap the maximum loss that you are willing to accept. Using stop loss helps you avoid the worst case scenario where you have many winning trades but a single loss large enough to wipe out all your profits in the account. Using trailing stops can be good idea.

There are two ways to place the stop loss order. 1) Initially place the stop loss at a reasonable level. 2) Trail the stop meaning move it forward towards profitability as the trade progresses.

There are two recommended methods of placing the stop loss order; one method involves placing the stop loss order 10 pips below the two days low of the currency pair price. Lets use an example, suppose the EUR/USD pair recent low was 1.1300. The previous day low was 1.1200. Then place the stop loss at 1.1190 (10 pips below the two day low) if you want to enter a long position.

Another volatility based method is to use the Parabolic SAR indicator. It is found on most of the charting software. Parabolic SAR is a volatility based indicator that displays a small dot at the point on the chart where you should place the stop loss.